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DOI10.1007/s00484-023-02616-y
Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region
发表日期2024
ISSN0020-7128
EISSN1432-1254
起始页码68
结束页码4
卷号68期号:4
英文摘要The Great Lakes region of North America has warmed by 1-2 degrees C on average since pre-industrial times, with the most pronounced changes observable during winter and spring. Interannual variability in temperatures remains high, however, due to the influence of ocean-atmosphere circulation patterns that modulate the warming trend across years. Variations in spring temperatures determine growing season length and plant phenology, with implications for whole ecosystem function. Studying how both internal climate variability and the secular warming trend interact to produce trends in temperature is necessary to estimate potential ecological responses to future warming scenarios. This study examines how external anthropogenic forcing and decadal-scale variability influence spring temperatures across the western Great Lakes region and estimates the sensitivity of regional forests to temperature using long-term growth records from tree-rings and satellite data. Using a modeling approach designed to test for regime shifts in dynamic time series, this work shows that mid-continent spring climatology was strongly influenced by the 1976/1977 phase change in North Pacific atmospheric circulation, and that regional forests show a strengthening response to spring temperatures during the last half-century.
英文关键词Climate change; Variability; Spring; Forests; Tree-rings; NDVI
语种英语
WOS研究方向Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS类目Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS记录号WOS:001143970000001
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287801
作者单位Helmholtz Association; Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar & Marine Research; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities
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. Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region[J],2024,68(4).
APA (2024).Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,68(4).
MLA "Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 68.4(2024).
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