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DOI | 10.1007/s00484-023-02616-y |
Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region | |
发表日期 | 2024 |
ISSN | 0020-7128 |
EISSN | 1432-1254 |
起始页码 | 68 |
结束页码 | 4 |
卷号 | 68期号:4 |
英文摘要 | The Great Lakes region of North America has warmed by 1-2 degrees C on average since pre-industrial times, with the most pronounced changes observable during winter and spring. Interannual variability in temperatures remains high, however, due to the influence of ocean-atmosphere circulation patterns that modulate the warming trend across years. Variations in spring temperatures determine growing season length and plant phenology, with implications for whole ecosystem function. Studying how both internal climate variability and the secular warming trend interact to produce trends in temperature is necessary to estimate potential ecological responses to future warming scenarios. This study examines how external anthropogenic forcing and decadal-scale variability influence spring temperatures across the western Great Lakes region and estimates the sensitivity of regional forests to temperature using long-term growth records from tree-rings and satellite data. Using a modeling approach designed to test for regime shifts in dynamic time series, this work shows that mid-continent spring climatology was strongly influenced by the 1976/1977 phase change in North Pacific atmospheric circulation, and that regional forests show a strengthening response to spring temperatures during the last half-century. |
英文关键词 | Climate change; Variability; Spring; Forests; Tree-rings; NDVI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
WOS类目 | Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001143970000001 |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/287801 |
作者单位 | Helmholtz Association; Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar & Marine Research; University of Minnesota System; University of Minnesota Twin Cities |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region[J],2024,68(4). |
APA | (2024).Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,68(4). |
MLA | "Decadal-scale variability and warming affect spring timing and forest growth across the western Great Lakes region".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY 68.4(2024). |
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