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DOI10.1007/s11600-024-01313-7
Ranking of CMIP 6 climate models in simulating precipitation over India
发表日期2024
ISSN1895-6572
EISSN1895-7455
英文摘要Understanding how precipitation fluctuates geographically and temporally over a specific place due to climate change is critical. Generally, simulations of general circulation models (GCM) under different scenarios are downscaled to the local scale to study the impact of climate change on precipitation. However, selecting suitable GCMs for the given study area is one of the most hectic tasks, as the performance of GCMs may vary with respect to space and timescale. Therefore, the current study ranks twenty-seven CMIP 6 (Coupled Modelled Intercomparison Project Phase 6) GCMs in simulating precipitation over India for nine times series, including daily, monthly, yearly, and six extreme series extracted with annual maximum and peak over threshold methods. The gridded daily rainfall data provided by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) are used as the observed data. The GCMs' outputs are corrected for the systematic bias using the linear scaling method. The performance of a GCM is assessed with three statistical performance metrics, namely NSE, RMSE, and R2. The GCMs' ranks are determined using a multi-criterion decision-making technique named the modified technique of order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (mTOPSIS) for every grid point and nine timescales (i.e., daily, monthly, yearly, and six extreme series). From the results, for the entire India, the top ten recommended CMIP 6 GCMs are FGOALS-g3, HadGEM3-GC31-MM, EC-Earth3, BCC-CSM2-MR, CNRM-CM6-1-HR, CanESM5, AWI-ESM-1-1-LR, MPI-ESM-1-2-HR, IITM-ESM, and INM-CM5-0. The identified best-performing models provide insightful information for better regional climate projections and underscore the necessity of considering multiple model outputs for reliable climate change impact assessments and adaptation strategies in the region.
英文关键词CMIP 6; GCM; India; Modified TOPSIS; Precipitation; Ranking
语种英语
WOS研究方向Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS类目Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS记录号WOS:001177464900002
来源期刊ACTA GEOPHYSICA
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/286660
作者单位National Institute of Technology (NIT System); National Institute of Technology Calicut
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GB/T 7714
. Ranking of CMIP 6 climate models in simulating precipitation over India[J],2024.
APA (2024).Ranking of CMIP 6 climate models in simulating precipitation over India.ACTA GEOPHYSICA.
MLA "Ranking of CMIP 6 climate models in simulating precipitation over India".ACTA GEOPHYSICA (2024).
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