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| DOI | 10.1007/s12571-024-01444-1 |
| Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply-demand gap? | |
| 发表日期 | 2024 |
| ISSN | 1876-4517 |
| EISSN | 1876-4525 |
| 起始页码 | 16 |
| 结束页码 | 3 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:3 |
| 英文摘要 | With rising demand for food and the threats posed by climate change, The Gambia faces significant challenges in ensuring sufficient and nutritious food for its population. To address these challenges, there is a need to increase domestic food production while limiting deforestation and land degradation. In this study, we modified the FABLE Calculator, a food and land-use system model, to focus on The Gambia to simulate scenarios for future food demand and increasing domestic food production. We considered the impacts of climate change on crops, the adoption of climate change adaptation techniques, as well as the potential of enhanced fertiliser use and irrigation to boost crop productivity, and assessed whether these measures would be sufficient to meet the projected increase in food demand. Our results indicate that domestic food production on existing cropland will not be sufficient to meet national food demand by 2050, leading to a significant supply-demand gap. However, investments in fertiliser availability and the development of sustainable irrigation infrastructure, coupled with climate change adaptation strategies like the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties and optimised planting dates, could halve this gap. Addressing the remaining gap will require additional strategies, such as increasing imports, expanding cropland, or prioritising the production of domestic food crops over export crops. Given the critical role imports play in The Gambia's food supply, it is essential to ensure a robust flow of food imports by diversifying partners and addressing regional trade barriers. Our study highlights the urgent need for sustained investment and policy support to enhance domestic food production and food imports to secure sufficient and healthy food supplies amidst growing demand and climate change challenges. |
| 英文关键词 | Food security; Food system model; Climate change adaptation; Crop productivity; Diets; Food imports |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS研究方向 | Food Science & Technology |
| WOS类目 | Food Science & Technology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001208617700001 |
| 来源期刊 | FOOD SECURITY
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/286202 |
| 作者单位 | University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; University of Abomey Calavi |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | . Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply-demand gap?[J],2024,16(3). |
| APA | (2024).Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply-demand gap?.FOOD SECURITY,16(3). |
| MLA | "Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply-demand gap?".FOOD SECURITY 16.3(2024). |
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