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DOI10.1177/10704965241251664
The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis
发表日期2024
ISSN1070-4965
EISSN1552-5465
英文摘要The main objective of this study is to determine the impact of climate change and natural disasters on GDP growth rate. In order to examine long run association between climate change, natural disasters and GDP, an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and correlation matrix were employed, using 20 years data spanning from 2001 to 2021. The focus of the study was to investigate into how CO2 emission causes climate change and climate change, in turn, causes natural disasters and, in turn, natural disasters cause human and crop losses as well as high inflation. The empirical evidence reveals that climate change, CO2 emissions and natural disasters have negative association with GDP because natural disasters in the shape of earthquakes, heavy rains, and floods cause huge human and crop losses, have negative impact on GDP. The variables, agriculture production and employment, have positive and significant association with GDP growth because increase in agriculture production and employment will definitely have significant and positive impact on GDP growth in the long run. The study suggests to build resilient technologies to cope with climate change, control CO2 emissions and inflation as these three variables have negative impact on GDP growth in the long run. This study significantly contributes by highlighting the link between climate change and natural disasters and their consequential negative impact on GDP growth.
英文关键词natural disasters; climate change; crop destruction; CO2 emission; inflation; GDP
语种英语
WOS研究方向Development Studies ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public Administration
WOS类目Development Studies ; Environmental Studies ; Regional & Urban Planning
WOS记录号WOS:001230861900001
来源期刊JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/285674
作者单位Harbin University
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
. The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis[J],2024.
APA (2024).The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT.
MLA "The Impact of Climate Change and Natural Disasters on Pakistan's GDP Growth: An ARDL Analysis".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT (2024).
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