气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41558-023-01746-w
	wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change
	Vasquez, Valeri N.; Kueppers, Lara M.; Rasic, Gordana; Marshall, John M.
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1758-678X
EISSN	1758-6798
起始页码	848
结束页码	+
卷号	13 期号:8
英文摘要	Rising temperatures are impacting the range and prevalence of mosquito-borne diseases. A promising biocontrol technology replaces wild mosquitoes with those carrying the virus-blocking Wolbachia bacterium. Because the most widely used strain, wMel, is adversely affected by heat stress, we examined how global warming may influence wMel-based replacement. We simulated interventions in two locations with successful field trials using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate projections and historical temperature records, integrating empirical data on wMel's thermal sensitivity into a model of Aedes aegypti population dynamics to evaluate introgression and persistence over one year. We show that in Cairns, Australia, climatic futures necessitate operational adaptations for heatwaves exceeding two weeks. In Nha Trang, Vietnam, projected heatwaves of three weeks and longer eliminate wMel under the most stringent assumptions of that symbiont's thermal limits. We conclude that this technology is generally robust to near-term (2030s) climate change. Accelerated warming may challenge this in the 2050s and beyond.
英文关键词	WOLBACHIA; POPULATIONS; FORMULATION; DYNAMICS; MALARIA; WORLD
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号	WOS:001048665400026
来源期刊	Nature Climate Change
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282426
作者单位	University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of California System; University of California Berkeley
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vasquez, Valeri N.,Kueppers, Lara M.,Rasic, Gordana,et al. wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change[J],2023,13(8).
APA	Vasquez, Valeri N.,Kueppers, Lara M.,Rasic, Gordana,&Marshall, John M..(2023).wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change.Nature Climate Change,13(8).
MLA	Vasquez, Valeri N.,et al."wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change".Nature Climate Change 13.8(2023).