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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-023-01746-w |
wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change | |
Vasquez, Valeri N.; Kueppers, Lara M.; Rasic, Gordana; Marshall, John M. | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
起始页码 | 848 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 13期号:8 |
英文摘要 | Rising temperatures are impacting the range and prevalence of mosquito-borne diseases. A promising biocontrol technology replaces wild mosquitoes with those carrying the virus-blocking Wolbachia bacterium. Because the most widely used strain, wMel, is adversely affected by heat stress, we examined how global warming may influence wMel-based replacement. We simulated interventions in two locations with successful field trials using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate projections and historical temperature records, integrating empirical data on wMel's thermal sensitivity into a model of Aedes aegypti population dynamics to evaluate introgression and persistence over one year. We show that in Cairns, Australia, climatic futures necessitate operational adaptations for heatwaves exceeding two weeks. In Nha Trang, Vietnam, projected heatwaves of three weeks and longer eliminate wMel under the most stringent assumptions of that symbiont's thermal limits. We conclude that this technology is generally robust to near-term (2030s) climate change. Accelerated warming may challenge this in the 2050s and beyond. |
英文关键词 | WOLBACHIA; POPULATIONS; FORMULATION; DYNAMICS; MALARIA; WORLD |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001048665400026 |
来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282426 |
作者单位 | University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; United States Department of Energy (DOE); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory; QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; University of California System; University of California Berkeley |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vasquez, Valeri N.,Kueppers, Lara M.,Rasic, Gordana,et al. wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change[J],2023,13(8). |
APA | Vasquez, Valeri N.,Kueppers, Lara M.,Rasic, Gordana,&Marshall, John M..(2023).wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change.Nature Climate Change,13(8). |
MLA | Vasquez, Valeri N.,et al."wMel replacement of dengue-competent mosquitoes is robust to near-term change".Nature Climate Change 13.8(2023). |
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