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DOI10.1038/s41558-023-01678-5
Sea surface warming patterns drive hydrological sensitivity uncertainties
Zhang, Shipeng; Stier, Philip; Dagan, Guy; Zhou, Chen; Wang, Minghuai
发表日期2023
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码545
结束页码+
卷号13期号:6
英文摘要The increase in global-mean precipitation with global-mean temperature (hydrological sensitivity; ?) is constrained by the atmospheric energy budget, but its magnitude remains uncertain. Here we apply warming patch experiments to a climate model to demonstrate that the spatial pattern of sea surface warming can explain a wide range of ?. Warming in tropical strongly ascending regions produces ? values even larger than suggested by the Clausius-Clapeyron relationship (7% K-1), as the warming and moisture increases can propagate vertically and be transported globally through atmospheric dynamics. Differences in warming patterns are as important as different treatments of atmospheric physics in determining the spread of ? in climate models. By accounting for the pattern effect, the global-mean precipitation over the past decades can be well reconstructed in terms of both magnitude and variability, indicating the vital role of the pattern effect in estimating future intensification of the hydrological cycle.
英文关键词ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CLIMATE SENSITIVITY; TEMPERATURE-CHANGE; TROPICAL CIRCULATION; PRECIPITATION; RESPONSES; FEEDBACK; CYCLE; PERSPECTIVE; DEPENDENCE
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000995255800004
来源期刊Nature Climate Change
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/282339
作者单位University of Oxford; Hebrew University of Jerusalem; Nanjing University; Nanjing University
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GB/T 7714
Zhang, Shipeng,Stier, Philip,Dagan, Guy,et al. Sea surface warming patterns drive hydrological sensitivity uncertainties[J],2023,13(6).
APA Zhang, Shipeng,Stier, Philip,Dagan, Guy,Zhou, Chen,&Wang, Minghuai.(2023).Sea surface warming patterns drive hydrological sensitivity uncertainties.Nature Climate Change,13(6).
MLA Zhang, Shipeng,et al."Sea surface warming patterns drive hydrological sensitivity uncertainties".Nature Climate Change 13.6(2023).
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