气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cooling cities through urban green infrastructure: a health impact assessment of European cities

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DOI	10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02585-5
	Cooling cities through urban green infrastructure: a health impact assessment of European cities
	Iungman, Tamara; Cirach, Marta; Marando, Federica; Barboza, Evelise Pereira; Khomenko, Sasha; Masselot, Pierre; Quijal-Zamorano, Marcos; Mueller, Natalie; Gasparrini, Antonio; Urquiza, Jose; Heris, Mehdi; Thondoo, Meelan; Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark
发表日期	2023
ISSN	0140-6736
EISSN	1474-547X
起始页码	577
结束页码	589
卷号	401 期号:10376
英文摘要	Background High ambient temperatures are associated with many health effects, including premature mortality. The combination of global warming due to climate change and the expansion of the global built environment mean that the intensification of urban heat islands (UHIs) is expected, accompanied by adverse effects on population health. Urban green infrastructure can reduce local temperatures. We aimed to estimate the mortality burden that could be attributed to UHIs and the mortality burden that would be prevented by increasing urban tree coverage in 93 European cities. Methods We did a quantitative health impact assessment for summer (June 1-Aug 31), 2015, of the effect of UHIs on all-cause mortality for adults aged 20 years or older in 93 European cities. We also estimated the temperature reductions that would result from increasing tree coverage to 30% for each city and estimated the number of deaths that could be potentially prevented as a result. We did all analyses at a high-resolution grid-cell level (250 x 250 m). We propagated uncertainties in input analyses by using Monte Carlo simulations to obtain point estimates and 95% CIs. We also did sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of our estimates. Findings The population-weighted mean city temperature increase due to UHI effects was 1 center dot 5 degrees C (SD 0 center dot 5; range 0 center dot 5-3 center dot 0). Overall, 6700 (95% CI 5254-8162) premature deaths could be attributable to the effects of UHIs (corresponding to around 4 center dot 33% [95% CI 3 center dot 37-5 center dot 28] of all summer deaths). We estimated that increasing tree coverage to 30% would cool cities by a mean of 0 center dot 4 degrees C (SD 0 center dot 2; range 0 center dot 0-1 center dot 3). We also estimated that 2644 (95% CI 2444-2824) premature deaths could be prevented by increasing city tree coverage to 30%, corresponding to 1 center dot 84% (1 center dot 69-1 center dot 97) of all summer deaths. Interpretation Our results showed the deleterious effects of UHIs on mortality and highlighted the health benefits of increasing tree coverage to cool urban environments, which would also result in more sustainable and climateresilient cities. Copyright (c) 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Medicine, General & Internal
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000944024400001
来源期刊	LANCET
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281600
作者单位	ISGlobal; Pompeu Fabra University; CIBER - Centro de Investigacion Biomedica en Red; CIBERESP; European Commission Joint Research Centre; EC JRC ISPRA Site; University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; University of London; London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; City University of New York (CUNY) System; Hunter College (CUNY); University of Cambridge; ISGlobal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Iungman, Tamara,Cirach, Marta,Marando, Federica,et al. Cooling cities through urban green infrastructure: a health impact assessment of European cities[J],2023,401(10376).
APA	Iungman, Tamara.,Cirach, Marta.,Marando, Federica.,Barboza, Evelise Pereira.,Khomenko, Sasha.,...&Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark.(2023).Cooling cities through urban green infrastructure: a health impact assessment of European cities.LANCET,401(10376).
MLA	Iungman, Tamara,et al."Cooling cities through urban green infrastructure: a health impact assessment of European cities".LANCET 401.10376(2023).