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DOI | 10.1038/s41586-022-05686-x |
Regime shift in Arctic Ocean sea ice thickness | |
Sumata, Hiroshi; de Steur, Laura; Divine, Dmitry V.; Granskog, Mats A.; Gerland, Sebastian | |
发表日期 | 2023 |
ISSN | 0028-0836 |
EISSN | 1476-4687 |
起始页码 | 443 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 615期号:7952 |
英文摘要 | Manifestations of climate change are often shown as gradual changes in physical or biogeochemical properties(1). Components of the climate system, however, can show stepwise shifts from one regime to another, as a nonlinear response of the system to a changing forcing(2). Here we show that the Arctic sea ice regime shifted in 2007 from thicker and deformed to thinner and more uniform ice cover. Continuous sea ice monitoring in the Fram Strait over the last three decades revealed the shift. After the shift, the fraction of thick and deformed ice dropped by half and has not recovered to date. The timing of the shift was preceded by a two-step reduction in residence time of sea ice in the Arctic Basin, initiated first in 2005 and followed by 2007. We demonstrate that a simple model describing the stochastic process of dynamic sea ice thickening explains the observed ice thickness changes as a result of the reduced residence time. Our study highlights the long-lasting impact of climate change on the Arctic sea ice through reduced residence time and its connection to the coupled ocean-sea ice processes in the adjacent marginal seas and shelves of the Arctic Ocean. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001061417300007 |
来源期刊 | NATURE |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/281147 |
作者单位 | Norwegian Polar Institute |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sumata, Hiroshi,de Steur, Laura,Divine, Dmitry V.,et al. Regime shift in Arctic Ocean sea ice thickness[J],2023,615(7952). |
APA | Sumata, Hiroshi,de Steur, Laura,Divine, Dmitry V.,Granskog, Mats A.,&Gerland, Sebastian.(2023).Regime shift in Arctic Ocean sea ice thickness.NATURE,615(7952). |
MLA | Sumata, Hiroshi,et al."Regime shift in Arctic Ocean sea ice thickness".NATURE 615.7952(2023). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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