气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits*

CCPortal

DOI	10.1093/qje/qjac020
	Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits*
	Carleton, Tamma; Jina, Amir; Delgado, Michael; Greenstone, Michael; Houser, Trevor; Hsiang, Solomon; Hultgren, Andrew; Kopp, Robert E.; McCusker, Kelly E.; Nath, Ishan; Rising, James; Rode, Ashwin; Seo, Hee Kwon; Viaene, Arvid; Yuan, Jiacan; Zhang, Alice Tianbo
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0033-5533
EISSN	1531-4650
起始页码	2037
结束页码	2105
卷号	137 期号:4
英文摘要	Using 40 countries' subnational data, we estimate age-specific mortality-temperature relationships and extrapolate them to countries without data today and into a future with climate change. We uncover a U-shaped relationship where extre6me cold and hot temperatures increase mortality rates, especially for the elderly. Critically, this relationship is flattened by higher incomes and adaptation to local climate. Using a revealed-preference approach to recover unobserved adaptation costs, we estimate that the mean global increase in mortality risk due to climate change, accounting for adaptation benefits and costs, is valued at roughly 3.2% of global GDP in 2100 under a high-emissions scenario. Notably, today's cold locations are projected to benefit, while today's poor and hot locations have large projected damages. Finally, our central estimates indicate that the release of an additional ton of CO2 today will cause mortality-related damages of $36.6 under a high-emissions scenario, with an interquartile range accounting for both econometric and climate uncertainty of [-$7.8, $73.0]. These empirically grounded estimates exceed the previous literature's estimates by an order of magnitude.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Economics
WOS类目	Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号	WOS:000815161100001
来源期刊	QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280426
作者单位	University of California System; University of California Santa Barbara; National Bureau of Economic Research; University of Chicago; University of California System; University of California Berkeley; Rutgers System; Rutgers New Brunswick; Princeton University; University of Delaware; The World Bank; Fudan University; Washington & Lee University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Carleton, Tamma,Jina, Amir,Delgado, Michael,et al. Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits*[J],2022,137(4).
APA	Carleton, Tamma.,Jina, Amir.,Delgado, Michael.,Greenstone, Michael.,Houser, Trevor.,...&Zhang, Alice Tianbo.(2022).Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits*.QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS,137(4).
MLA	Carleton, Tamma,et al."Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits*".QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 137.4(2022).