气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41612-021-00224-4
	Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change
	Ridder, N. N.; Ukkola, A. M.; Pitman, A. J.; Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	2397-3722
卷号	5 期号:1
英文摘要	While compound weather and climate events (CEs) can lead to significant socioeconomic consequences, their response to climate change is mostly unexplored. We report the first multi-model assessment of future changes in return periods for the co-occurrence of heatwaves and drought, and extreme winds and precipitation based on the Coupled Model lntercomparison Project (CMIP6) and three emission scenarios. Extreme winds and precipitation CEs occur more frequently in many regions, particularly under higher emissions. Heatwaves and drought occur more frequently everywhere under all emission scenarios examined. For each CMIP6 model, we derive a skill score for simulating CEs. Models with higher skill in simulating historical CEs project smaller increases in the number of heatwaves and drought in Eurasia, but larger numbers of strong winds and heavy precipitation CEs everywhere for all emission scenarios. This result is partly masked if the whole CMIP6 ensemble is used, pointing to the considerable value in further improvements in climate models.
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000742010300002
来源期刊	NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280423
作者单位	University of New South Wales Sydney; University of New South Wales Sydney; University of New South Wales Sydney
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ridder, N. N.,Ukkola, A. M.,Pitman, A. J.,et al. Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change[J],2022,5(1).
APA	Ridder, N. N.,Ukkola, A. M.,Pitman, A. J.,&Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S. E..(2022).Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change.NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE,5(1).
MLA	Ridder, N. N.,et al."Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change".NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE 5.1(2022).