气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The summer 2022 drought: a taste of future climate for the Po valley (Italy)?

CCPortal

DOI	10.1007/s10113-022-02004-z
	The summer 2022 drought: a taste of future climate for the Po valley (Italy)?
	Bonaldo, Davide; Bellafiore, Debora; Ferrarin, Christian; Ferretti, Rossella; Ricchi, Antonio; Sangelantoni, Lorenzo; Vitelletti, Maria Letizia
发表日期	2023
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
卷号	23 期号:1
英文摘要	The severe drought that affected large areas of Europe in Spring and Summer 2022 hit the Po valley (northern Italy) with an intense water scarcity crisis. Productive activities, particularly agriculture, suffered the consequences of water shortage, and the coastal regions of the Po Delta underwent extensive saltwater intrusion. By relying on observed discharge records and on precipitation data from reanalysis and climate models, we analyse the 2022 event in the framework of the recent past statistics and in future scenarios. Alongside with a projection of future rainfall regimes on the Po River basin in two climate change scenarios, our analysis shows that persistent negative rainfall anomalies like the ones that characterised the 2022 event, though unlikely to become a typical feature of future climate, could remarkably increase their frequency, particularly in a severe climate change condition. Moreover, their impacts will be magnified by rising temperatures and, in coastal areas, by rising sea level, enhancing the salinisation of agricultural lands and altering the dynamics of transitional ecosystems. While providing a first quantitative assessment of an event that struck a strategic productive and environmental region of the Italian territory, this brief communication points out the importance of a multi-disciplinary, basin-scale approach to climate change adaptation.
英文关键词	Climate change; Po Delta; Rainfall; EURO-CORDEX ensemble; River discharge; Saltwater intrusion
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS类目	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号	WOS:000894397800001
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280394
作者单位	Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR); Istituto di Scienze Marine (ISMAR-CNR); University of L'Aquila; University of L'Aquila
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bonaldo, Davide,Bellafiore, Debora,Ferrarin, Christian,et al. The summer 2022 drought: a taste of future climate for the Po valley (Italy)?[J],2023,23(1).
APA	Bonaldo, Davide.,Bellafiore, Debora.,Ferrarin, Christian.,Ferretti, Rossella.,Ricchi, Antonio.,...&Vitelletti, Maria Letizia.(2023).The summer 2022 drought: a taste of future climate for the Po valley (Italy)?.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,23(1).
MLA	Bonaldo, Davide,et al."The summer 2022 drought: a taste of future climate for the Po valley (Italy)?".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 23.1(2023).