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DOI10.1038/s41558-022-01376-8
Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change
Qiao, Lei; Wang, Xuhui; Smith, Pete; Fan, Jinlong; Lu, Yuelai; Emmett, Bridget; Li, Rong; Dorling, Stephen; Chen, Haiqing; Liu, Shaogui; Benton, Tim G.; Wang, Yaojun; Ma, Yuqing; Jiang, Rongfeng; Zhang, Fusuo; Piao, Shilong; Mueller, Christoph; Yang, Huaqing; Hao, Yanan; Li, Wangmei; Fan, Mingsheng
发表日期2022
ISSN1758-678X
EISSN1758-6798
起始页码574
结束页码+
卷号12期号:6
英文摘要Interactions between soil quality and climate change may influence the capacity of croplands to produce sufficient food. Here, we address this issue by using a new dataset of soil, climate and associated yield observations for 12,115 site-years representing 90% of total cereal production in China. Across crops and environmental conditions, we show that high-quality soils reduced the sensitivity of crop yield to climate variability leading to both higher mean crop yield (10.3 +/- 6.7%) and higher yield stability (decreasing variability by 15.6 +/- 14.4%). High-quality soils improve the outcome for yields under climate change by 1.7% (0.5-4.0%), compared to low-quality soils. Climate-driven yield change could result in reductions of national cereal production of 11.4 Mt annually under representative concentration pathway RCP 8.5 by 2080-2099. While this production reduction was exacerbated by 14% due to soil degradation, it can be reduced by 21% through soil improvement. This study emphasizes the vital role of soil quality in agriculture under climate change. Food demand is increasing, while climate change is impacting the magnitude and stability of crop yields. High-quality soils are able to buffer the negative impacts of climate change and lead to smaller yield reduction and higher yield stability, indicating a potential adaptation strategy.
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
WOS记录号WOS:000812275500024
来源期刊NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280324
作者单位China Agricultural University; China Agricultural University; Peking University; University of Aberdeen; China Meteorological Administration; University of East Anglia; UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH); Ministry of Agriculture & Rural Affairs; University of East Anglia; China Agricultural University; China Agricultural University; Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung
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GB/T 7714
Qiao, Lei,Wang, Xuhui,Smith, Pete,et al. Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change[J],2022,12(6).
APA Qiao, Lei.,Wang, Xuhui.,Smith, Pete.,Fan, Jinlong.,Lu, Yuelai.,...&Fan, Mingsheng.(2022).Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(6).
MLA Qiao, Lei,et al."Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.6(2022).
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