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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-022-01376-8 |
Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change | |
Qiao, Lei; Wang, Xuhui; Smith, Pete; Fan, Jinlong; Lu, Yuelai; Emmett, Bridget; Li, Rong; Dorling, Stephen; Chen, Haiqing; Liu, Shaogui; Benton, Tim G.; Wang, Yaojun; Ma, Yuqing; Jiang, Rongfeng; Zhang, Fusuo; Piao, Shilong; Mueller, Christoph; Yang, Huaqing; Hao, Yanan; Li, Wangmei; Fan, Mingsheng | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
起始页码 | 574 |
结束页码 | + |
卷号 | 12期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Interactions between soil quality and climate change may influence the capacity of croplands to produce sufficient food. Here, we address this issue by using a new dataset of soil, climate and associated yield observations for 12,115 site-years representing 90% of total cereal production in China. Across crops and environmental conditions, we show that high-quality soils reduced the sensitivity of crop yield to climate variability leading to both higher mean crop yield (10.3 +/- 6.7%) and higher yield stability (decreasing variability by 15.6 +/- 14.4%). High-quality soils improve the outcome for yields under climate change by 1.7% (0.5-4.0%), compared to low-quality soils. Climate-driven yield change could result in reductions of national cereal production of 11.4 Mt annually under representative concentration pathway RCP 8.5 by 2080-2099. While this production reduction was exacerbated by 14% due to soil degradation, it can be reduced by 21% through soil improvement. This study emphasizes the vital role of soil quality in agriculture under climate change. Food demand is increasing, while climate change is impacting the magnitude and stability of crop yields. High-quality soils are able to buffer the negative impacts of climate change and lead to smaller yield reduction and higher yield stability, indicating a potential adaptation strategy. |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS类目 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) ; Social Science Citation Index (SSCI) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000812275500024 |
来源期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/280324 |
作者单位 | China Agricultural University; China Agricultural University; Peking University; University of Aberdeen; China Meteorological Administration; University of East Anglia; UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH); Ministry of Agriculture & Rural Affairs; University of East Anglia; China Agricultural University; China Agricultural University; Potsdam Institut fur Klimafolgenforschung |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qiao, Lei,Wang, Xuhui,Smith, Pete,et al. Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change[J],2022,12(6). |
APA | Qiao, Lei.,Wang, Xuhui.,Smith, Pete.,Fan, Jinlong.,Lu, Yuelai.,...&Fan, Mingsheng.(2022).Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,12(6). |
MLA | Qiao, Lei,et al."Soil quality both increases crop production and improves resilience to climate change".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 12.6(2022). |
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