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DOI | 10.5194/acp-22-14253-2022 |
Transport patterns of global aviation NOx and their short-term O-3 radiative forcing - a machine learning approach | |
Maruhashi, Jin; Grewe, Volker; Froemming, Christine; Joeckel, Patrick; Dedoussi, Irene C. | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 1680-7316 |
EISSN | 1680-7324 |
起始页码 | 14253 |
结束页码 | 14282 |
卷号 | 22期号:21页码:30 |
英文摘要 | Aviation produces a net climate warming contribution that comprises multiple forcing terms of mixed sign. Aircraft NOx emissions are associated with both warming and cooling terms, with the short-term increase in O-3 induced by NOx emissions being the dominant warming effect. The uncertainty associated with the magnitude of this climate forcer is amongst the highest out of all contributors from aviation and is owed to the nonlinearity of the NOx-O-3 chemistry and the large dependency of the response on space and time, i.e., on the meteorological condition and background atmospheric composition. This study addresses how transport patterns of emitted NOx and their climate effects vary with respect to regions (North America, South America, Africa, Eurasia and Australasia) and seasons (January-March and July-September in 2014) by employing global-scale simulations. We quantify the climate effects from NOx emissions released at a representative aircraft cruise altitude of 250 hPa (similar to 10 400 m) in terms of radiative forcing resulting from their induced short-term contributions to O-3. The emitted NOx is transported with Lagrangian air parcels within the ECHAM5/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model. To identify the main global transport patterns and associated climate impacts of the 14 000 simulated air parcel trajectories, the unsupervised QuickBundles clustering algorithm is adapted and applied. Results reveal a strong seasonal dependence of the contribution of NOx emissions to O-3. For most regions, an inverse relationship is found between an air parcel's downward transport and its mean contribution to O-3. NOx emitted in the northern regions (North America and Eurasia) experience the longest residence times in the upper midlatitudes (40 %-45 % of their lifetime), while those beginning in the south (South America, Africa and Australasia) remain mostly in the Tropics (45 %-50 % of their lifetime). Due to elevated O-3 sensitivities, emissions in Australasia induce the highest overall radiative forcing, attaining values that are larger by factors of 2.7 and 1.2 relative to Eurasia during January and July, respectively. The location of the emissions does not necessarily correspond to the region that will be most affected - for instance, NOx over North America in July will induce the largest radiative forcing in Europe. Overall, this study highlights the spatially and temporally heterogeneous nature of the NOx-O-3 chemistry from a global perspective, which needs to be accounted for in efforts to minimize aviation's climate impact, given the sector's resilient growth. |
学科领域 | Environmental Sciences; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000879750500001 |
来源期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272983 |
作者单位 | Delft University of Technology; Helmholtz Association; German Aerospace Centre (DLR) |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Maruhashi, Jin,Grewe, Volker,Froemming, Christine,et al. Transport patterns of global aviation NOx and their short-term O-3 radiative forcing - a machine learning approach[J],2022,22(21):30. |
APA | Maruhashi, Jin,Grewe, Volker,Froemming, Christine,Joeckel, Patrick,&Dedoussi, Irene C..(2022).Transport patterns of global aviation NOx and their short-term O-3 radiative forcing - a machine learning approach.ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,22(21),30. |
MLA | Maruhashi, Jin,et al."Transport patterns of global aviation NOx and their short-term O-3 radiative forcing - a machine learning approach".ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 22.21(2022):30. |
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