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DOI10.1002/wcc.768
Designing the mid-transition: A review of medium-term challenges for coordinated decarbonization in the United States
Grubert, Emily; Hastings-Simon, Sara
发表日期2022
ISSN1757-7780
EISSN1757-7799
卷号13期号:3页码:19
英文摘要Decarbonizing the energy system is critical for addressing climate change. Given the dominance of fossil fuels in the energy system, decarbonization requires rapid and significant industrial transition of the energy supply at scale. This includes explicit and coordinated plans not only for zero carbon phase-in, but for fossil carbon phase-out. Even very rapid decarbonization will likely take decades, leading to a medium-term future where the conventional, fossil-based energy system coexists with a new, zero-carbon energy system. Each imposes operational constraints on the other: what we call the mid-transition. Notably, this coexistence means that the new, zero-carbon system will develop under fossil carbon system constraints. The mid-transition will therefore likely require specific analytical metrics designed to support decision making under dynamic and uncertain conditions. Many aspects of transition will be felt, and shaped, directly by individuals because of our direct interactions with energy systems. Even rare missteps are likely to have significant and potentially system design-relevant impacts on perception, political support, and implementation. Comparisons of the new system to the old system are likely to rest on experience of a world less affected by climate change, such that concerns about lower reliability, higher costs, and other challenges might be perceived as inherent to zero-carbon systems, versus energy systems facing consequences of climate change and long-term underinvestment. This review assesses and evaluates medium-term challenges associated with the mid-transition in the United States, emphasizing the need for explicit planning for joint and coordinated phase-in and phase-out. This article is categorized under: The Carbon Economy and Climate Mitigation > Decarbonizing Energy and/or Reducing Demand
英文关键词decarbonization; deindustrialization; fossil fuels; macroenergy systems; transition
学科领域Environmental Studies; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000752332000001
来源期刊WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272908
作者单位University System of Georgia; Georgia Institute of Technology; University of Calgary
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GB/T 7714
Grubert, Emily,Hastings-Simon, Sara. Designing the mid-transition: A review of medium-term challenges for coordinated decarbonization in the United States[J],2022,13(3):19.
APA Grubert, Emily,&Hastings-Simon, Sara.(2022).Designing the mid-transition: A review of medium-term challenges for coordinated decarbonization in the United States.WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE,13(3),19.
MLA Grubert, Emily,et al."Designing the mid-transition: A review of medium-term challenges for coordinated decarbonization in the United States".WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE 13.3(2022):19.
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