气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Geopolitical risk and China's oil security

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.112856
	Geopolitical risk and China's oil security
	Gong, Xu; Sun, Yi; Du, Zhili
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	163 页码:11
英文摘要	This paper aims to make a comprehensive evaluation of China's oil situation from 2000 to 2018. We establish an evaluation framework from three dimensions of oil supply, oil consumption and oil ecology, and calculate the comprehensive score and scores of three dimensions. Results show that the comprehensive score of China's oil security increased from 0.3 to about 0.6 in 2000-2018. After rapid growth from 2003 to 2008, the oil supply security score stabilized at the level of 0.6. In general, China's oil security situation is steadily improving. Further, ADL-MIDAS model is employed to investigate the impact of four types of geopolitical risks (GPRs) on China's oil security. The findings suggest that GPRs have negative effects on China's comprehensive oil security. In the robustness tests, these effects don't change with adjustments to the assessment framework, changes in subjective weights, or the choice of regression models. The impacts of GPRs on China's oil security are mainly realized through the oil supply dimension. GPRs threatening China's oil security are reflected in oil interruption in the international market. Finally, the paper puts forward several policy implications from the perspective of oil security assessment and GPRs.
英文关键词	Geopolitical risk; China's oil security; Oil ecology security; ADL-MIADS model
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000778604500014
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272294
作者单位	Xiamen University; Xiamen University
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gong, Xu,Sun, Yi,Du, Zhili. Geopolitical risk and China's oil security[J],2022,163:11.
APA	Gong, Xu,Sun, Yi,&Du, Zhili.(2022).Geopolitical risk and China's oil security.ENERGY POLICY,163,11.
MLA	Gong, Xu,et al."Geopolitical risk and China's oil security".ENERGY POLICY 163(2022):11.