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DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113316
Drivers of electricity GHG emissions and the role of natural gas in mexican energy transition
Santillan Vera, Monica; Manrique, Lilia Garcia; Rodriguez Pena, Isabel; De La Vega Navarro, Angel
发表日期2023
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
卷号173页码:10
英文摘要In the last three decades, the high growth of natural gas as an energy source for Mexican electricity production was the most significant change in the sector. Natural gas went from being the source of 7% of electricity in 1990 to 62.3% in 2020. A co-dependence of electricity and natural gas systems has been established and is increasing. Is this fact consistent with the objective of decarbonizing the electricity sector? We study this question through a decomposition analysis of electricity Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions in Mexico between 1990 and 2015. We use a Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) to quantify the changes of electricity GHG emissions related to activity, carbon coefficient, structure, and energy intensity effects. Activity effect was the most significant driver of GHG emissions growth, structure and energy intensity effects contributed to limiting that growth, while the carbon coefficient effect had a small contribution to mitigating GHG emissions. From these results, we raise concerns about the role of natural gas, which crowd-out renewable energy and could lead to carbon lock-in and stranded assets in the long term. In addition, Mexico's energy system relies heavily on U.S. natural gas. In light of these concerns, we concluded that an energy policy aiming towards a low-carbon energy system should consider the composition natural gas + renewable energies + energy efficiency.
英文关键词Electricity GHG Emissions; Natural gas; Decomposition analysis; Energy transition; Renewable energy
学科领域Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种英语
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号WOS:000910848200005
来源期刊ENERGY POLICY
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272278
作者单位Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas A.C. (CIDE); University of Sussex; Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico
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GB/T 7714
Santillan Vera, Monica,Manrique, Lilia Garcia,Rodriguez Pena, Isabel,et al. Drivers of electricity GHG emissions and the role of natural gas in mexican energy transition[J],2023,173:10.
APA Santillan Vera, Monica,Manrique, Lilia Garcia,Rodriguez Pena, Isabel,&De La Vega Navarro, Angel.(2023).Drivers of electricity GHG emissions and the role of natural gas in mexican energy transition.ENERGY POLICY,173,10.
MLA Santillan Vera, Monica,et al."Drivers of electricity GHG emissions and the role of natural gas in mexican energy transition".ENERGY POLICY 173(2023):10.
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