气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Implication of the Paris agreement target on Indonesia electricity sector transition to 2050 using TIMES model

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113184
	Implication of the Paris agreement target on Indonesia electricity sector transition to 2050 using TIMES model
	Reyseliani, Nadhilah; Hidayatno, Akhmad; Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
EISSN	1873-6777
卷号	169 页码:11
英文摘要	This study examines the transition of Indonesia's electricity system 2020-2050 to achieve Paris Agreement target using TIMES model. Three scenarios, including Reference Case, Current Policy, and Paris Agreement are reviewed. Reference case system will be 77% dominated by unabated coal power plant, and Current Policy will only reduce its share by 10% in 2050. Furthermore, the emissions from these scenarios are still half of estimated electricity emission in NDC due to different demand level between the policy target and current level indicating the ambition gap. Achieving well below 2C long-term target, 50% of RE and 40% of IGCC-CCS in electricity production are needed. There will be 48% increase in investment compare to reference case and constant electricity production to current level. Uncertainty of carbon budget will not shift the emission peak or pene-tration of solar PV utility-scale, but will greatly affect the deployment time, as soon as 2030 or as later as 2040, and capacity of IGCC-CCS and the presence of BECCS up to 2050. Reform of Indonesia's electricity system needs to be carried out because of changes in technology and investment directions, the need to accelerate techno-logical readiness, coupled with the current condition of market structure and electricity prices.
英文关键词	Electricity system planning; Decarbonisation; Paris agreement; Net-zero emission; Policy; Indonesia
学科领域	Economics; Energy & Fuels; Environmental Sciences; Environmental Studies
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS记录号	WOS:000865022700002
来源期刊	ENERGY POLICY
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/272224
作者单位	University of Indonesia; University of Indonesia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Reyseliani, Nadhilah,Hidayatno, Akhmad,Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu. Implication of the Paris agreement target on Indonesia electricity sector transition to 2050 using TIMES model[J],2022,169:11.
APA	Reyseliani, Nadhilah,Hidayatno, Akhmad,&Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu.(2022).Implication of the Paris agreement target on Indonesia electricity sector transition to 2050 using TIMES model.ENERGY POLICY,169,11.
MLA	Reyseliani, Nadhilah,et al."Implication of the Paris agreement target on Indonesia electricity sector transition to 2050 using TIMES model".ENERGY POLICY 169(2022):11.