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| DOI | 10.1038/s41558-022-01388-4 |
| Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming | |
| Chand S.S.; Walsh K.J.E.; Camargo S.J.; Kossin J.P.; Tory K.J.; Wehner M.F.; Chan J.C.L.; Klotzbach P.J.; Dowdy A.J.; Bell S.S.; Ramsay H.A.; Murakami H. | |
| 发表日期 | 2022 |
| ISSN | 1758-678X |
| 起始页码 | 655 |
| 结束页码 | 661 |
| 卷号 | 12期号:7 |
| 英文摘要 | Assessing the role of anthropogenic warming from temporally inhomogeneous historical data in the presence of large natural variability is difficult and has caused conflicting conclusions on detection and attribution of tropical cyclone (TC) trends. Here, using a reconstructed long-term proxy of annual TC numbers together with high-resolution climate model experiments, we show robust declining trends in the annual number of TCs at global and regional scales during the twentieth century. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR) dataset is used for reconstruction because, compared with other reanalyses, it assimilates only sea-level pressure fields rather than utilize all available observations in the troposphere, making it less sensitive to temporal inhomogeneities in the observations. It can also capture TC signatures from the pre-satellite era reasonably well. The declining trends found are consistent with the twentieth century weakening of the Hadley and Walker circulations, which make conditions for TC formation less favourable. © 2022, The Author(s). |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | climate modeling; data set; global warming; reconstruction; tropical cyclone |
| 来源期刊 | Nature Climate Change
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/262128 |
| 作者单位 | Institute of Innovation, Science and Sustainability, Federation University, Ballarat, VIC, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chand S.S.； Walsh K.J.E.； Camargo S.J.； Kossin J.P.； Tory K.J.； Wehner M.F.； Chan J.C.L.； Klotzbach P.J.； Dowdy A.J.； Bell S.S.； Ramsay H.A.； Murakami H.. Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming[J],2022,12(7). |
| APA | Chand S.S.； Walsh K.J.E.； Camargo S.J.； Kossin J.P.； Tory K.J.； Wehner M.F.； Chan J.C.L.； Klotzbach P.J.； Dowdy A.J.； Bell S.S.； Ramsay H.A.； Murakami H..(2022).Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming.Nature Climate Change,12(7). |
| MLA | Chand S.S.； Walsh K.J.E.； Camargo S.J.； Kossin J.P.； Tory K.J.； Wehner M.F.； Chan J.C.L.； Klotzbach P.J.； Dowdy A.J.； Bell S.S.； Ramsay H.A.； Murakami H.."Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming".Nature Climate Change 12.7(2022). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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