气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario

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DOI	10.1007/s10113-011-0228-7
	Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario
	Zhao, Dongsheng; Wu, Shaohong; Yin, Yunhe; Yin, Zhi-Yong
通讯作者	Wu, SH (通讯作者)
发表日期	2011
ISSN	1436-3798
EISSN	1436-378X
起始页码	905
结束页码	915
卷号	11 期号:4
英文摘要	The impact of climate change on distribution of vegetation is an important aspect in studies on the responses of ecosystems to the climate change. Particularly in the sensitive environments of the Tibetan Plateau, vegetation distribution may be significantly affected by climate change. In this research, the coupled biogeography and biogeochemistry model, BIOME4, was modified according to the features of vegetation distribution on the Plateau, and the Kappa statistic was used to evaluate the modeling results by comparing the simulated vegetation distribution with the existing 1:1,000,000 vegetation map of China. The comparison showed that modified model was appropriate for simulating the overall vegetation distribution on the Plateau. With the improved BIOME4 model, possible changes in the vegetation distribution were simulated under climate change scenarios. The simulated results suggest that alpine meadows, steppes, and alpine sparse/cushion vegetation and deserts would shrink, while shrubs, broad-leaved forests, coniferous-broad-leaved mixed forests, and coniferous forests would expand. Among these types, shrubs, alpine meadows, and steppes would change the most. The shrubs vegetation would expand toward the northwest, replacing most alpine meadows and part of steppes, and thus causing their shrinkages. Yet broad-leaved forests and coniferous-broad-leaved mixed forests demonstrated smaller changes in their distributions. For all the forest types, the area of coniferous forests would increase the most by spreading to the interior of the Plateau.
关键词	MODEL RESPONSES IMPACTS FORESTS
英文关键词	Vegetation distribution; BIOME4 model; Tibetan Plateau; Responses of vegetation to climate change; Vegetation distribution
语种	英语
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS记录号	WOS:000298226500014
来源期刊	REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
来源机构	中国科学院青藏高原研究所
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/257892
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhao, Dongsheng,Wu, Shaohong,Yin, Yunhe,et al. Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario[J]. 中国科学院青藏高原研究所,2011,11(4).
APA	Zhao, Dongsheng,Wu, Shaohong,Yin, Yunhe,&Yin, Zhi-Yong.(2011).Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario.REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,11(4).
MLA	Zhao, Dongsheng,et al."Vegetation distribution on Tibetan Plateau under climate change scenario".REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE 11.4(2011).