气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112567
	Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China
	Xu X.; Chase N.; Peng T.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	158
英文摘要	China's rapidly rising freight transport demand has been one of the primary contributors to global oil consumption growth since 2000 and has remained the dominant source of domestic transport energy consumption during the same period. The objective of this paper is to investigate the main structural driving forces of China's freight transport demand during its fastest growing period (1997–2012), and to analyze its potential future scenario. The results suggest that strong growth of total final demand, an increasingly freight-intensive economic structure, and lengthening inter-industry production linkages, which is consistent with China's investment and export driven development model from 1997 to 2012, have been the main propellers of rapid freight transport demand growth during this time. Looking ahead, as the Chinese economy gradually shifts to a consumption driven model in an increasingly uncertain global economic environment, policymakers need to be aware of both unexpected demand shocks and the inherent changes of the Chinese economy while considering their implications for China's transport energy demand and China's carbon emission mitigation strategy. © 2021 The Authors
英文关键词	Dematerialization; Economic structural change; Freight intensity; Freight transport demand; Input-output; Structural decomposition analysis
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Economic analysis; Energy utilization; Investments; Chinese economy; Dematerialization; Economic structural change; Freight intensity; Freight transport; Freight transport demand; Input-output; Structural decomposition analysis; Transport demand; Transport energy; Freight transportation; decomposition analysis; demand analysis; economic structure; freight transport; input-output analysis; structural change; transportation development; China
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256547
作者单位	King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, PO Box 88550, Riyadh, 11672, Saudi Arabia; China National Petroleum Corporation Economics and Technology Research Institute, 9 Dongzhimen North Street, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100007, China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xu X.,Chase N.,Peng T.. Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China[J],2021,158.
APA	Xu X.,Chase N.,&Peng T..(2021).Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China.Energy Policy,158.
MLA	Xu X.,et al."Economic structural change and freight transport demand in China".Energy Policy 158(2021).