气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): CO2 fleet regulation and the future market diffusion of zero-emission trucks in Europe

CCPortal

DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112640
	CO2 fleet regulation and the future market diffusion of zero-emission trucks in Europe
	Breed A.K.; Speth D.; Plötz P.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	159
英文摘要	Fuel economy regulation is a powerful instrument to reduce CO2 emissions of vehicles and has recently been extended to heavy-duty vehicles. In Europe, truck manufacturers are required to reduce the CO2 emissions of newly sold vehicles by 30% until 2030 compared to 2019/2020. Accordingly, several manufacturers have announced the introduction of zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) such as battery electric or fuel cell trucks. However, the sales shares of zero emission trucks to meet the targets have not been analyzed in the literature yet. Here, we derive sales share scenarios for zero emission trucks in Europe based on emissions reduction options and their associated costs. We find that manufacturers will require at least 4–22% of their newly sold heavy-duty vehicles to be zero emission in 2030, depending on their strategy to improve their diesel trucks. This implies a stock share of 2–11% for ZEV trucks in Europe in 2030. Yet, high sales shares for ZEVs and the super credits granted by the regulation allow manufacturers to meet their target with little CO2 reduction in the conventional fleet leading to low actual emission reduction. © 2021 The Author(s)
英文关键词	Climate policy; CO2 fleet regulation; Electric truck; Zero emission vehicle
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Automobile manufacture; Emission control; Fleet operations; Fuel cells; Fuel economy; Sales; Trucks; Climate policy; CO 2 emission; CO2 fleet regulation; Electric truck; Emission reduction; Heavy duty vehicles; Sales share; Truck manufacturers; Zero emission; Zero emission vehicles; Carbon dioxide; carbon dioxide; carbon emission; cost; emission control; environmental policy; future prospect; market conditions; traffic emission; trucking; Europe
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256492
作者单位	Technical University of Hamburg, Institute for Transport Planning and Logistics, Am Schwarzenberg-Campus 3, Hamburg, 21073, Germany; Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI, Breslauer Strasse 48, Karlsruhe, 76139, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Breed A.K.,Speth D.,Plötz P.. CO2 fleet regulation and the future market diffusion of zero-emission trucks in Europe[J],2021,159.
APA	Breed A.K.,Speth D.,&Plötz P..(2021).CO2 fleet regulation and the future market diffusion of zero-emission trucks in Europe.Energy Policy,159.
MLA	Breed A.K.,et al."CO2 fleet regulation and the future market diffusion of zero-emission trucks in Europe".Energy Policy 159(2021).