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| DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112671 |
| Expert elicitation on paths to advance fuel cell electric vehicles | |
| Whiston M.M.; Lima Azevedo I.M.; Litster S.; Samaras C.; Whitefoot K.S.; Whitacre J.F. | |
| 发表日期 | 2022 |
| ISSN | 0301-4215 |
| 卷号 | 160 |
| 英文摘要 | While fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) fueled by hydrogen produced using low-carbon processes could considerably reduce carbon emissions from transportation, FCEVs are produced at low volume, are expensive to manufacture, and lack widespread refueling infrastructure. To inform advancement pathways for FCEVs, we conducted an expert elicitation on vehicle costs and performance at anticipated production volumes, governmental actions to advance FCEVs, anticipated sales of FCEVs equipped with an automated driving system (ADS), and anticipated infrastructure deployments. Between 2020 and 2035, experts assessed a three-fold decline in fuel cell system costs to $60/kW and over an order of magnitude increase in production volume to 225,000 systems/year. Levelized costs of driving were assesed at $0.25–$0.90/mile and $0.17–$0.65/mile in 2035 and 2050, respectively. FCEVs could constitute a considerable share of ADS-equipped vehicle sales depending on cost and performance trajectories of automated driving technology and electric vehicles. Experts identified regulatory and incentive-based policies as important governmental actions to advance FCEVs and recommended hydrogen, fuel cells, and technology deployment activities each receive at least 20% of government research and development funding. Medians of experts' U.S. refueling station deployment assessments were 500 and 2,000 stations cumulative in 2030 and 2040, respectively. The middle 50% of respondents anticipated 2030 cumulative FCEV deployments in China of 100,000–1 million. © 2021 |
| 英文关键词 | Cost; Expert elicitation; Hydrogen; Policy; Proton exchange membrane fuel cell; Vehicle automation |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | Automation; Automobile manufacture; Carbon; Hydrogen; Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC); Vehicle performance; Automated driving systems; Carbon emissions; Expert elicitation; Fuel cell electric vehicle; Low carbon; Performance; Production volumes; Proton-exchange membranes fuel cells; Transportation fuels; Vehicles automations; Costs; carbon emission; electric vehicle; emission control; fuel cell; hydrogen; China |
| 来源期刊 | Energy Policy
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256436 |
| 作者单位 | Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States; Department of Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford University, StanfordCA 94305, United States; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States; Wilton E. Scott Institute for Energy Innovation, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States; Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Whiston M.M.,Lima Azevedo I.M.,Litster S.,et al. Expert elicitation on paths to advance fuel cell electric vehicles[J],2022,160. |
| APA | Whiston M.M.,Lima Azevedo I.M.,Litster S.,Samaras C.,Whitefoot K.S.,&Whitacre J.F..(2022).Expert elicitation on paths to advance fuel cell electric vehicles.Energy Policy,160. |
| MLA | Whiston M.M.,et al."Expert elicitation on paths to advance fuel cell electric vehicles".Energy Policy 160(2022). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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