气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico

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DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112679
	Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico
	Guevara Z.; Sebastian A.; Carranza Dumon F.
发表日期	2022
ISSN	0301-4215
卷号	161
英文摘要	In Mexico, since the 1970's, the O&G sector has been and still is at the center of national development strategies. This faith in the O&G sector for development and energy security is shared by most oil-exporting developing countries. Understanding their present impact potential is relevant to identify insights on their implementation, limitations or even justify their abandonment. This paper aims to analyze the effectiveness of three of such conventional policies regarding their economic, environmental, and social impacts. We implement a scenario methodology, based on the input-output framework, that allows simulating different levels of success in the implementation of these policies. The results confirm the relevance of the O&G sector for the country as its collapse would induce severe economic contractions (about −7%) and job losses (over 350k). Moreover, even though the results suggest that the success of these policies would create substantial benefits, especially when applied in tandem (up to 2.5% of economic growth and around 150k more jobs); other relevant variables that might affect or even nullify the effectiveness of these policies are not considered. Therefore, policymakers of oil-exporting countries should pursue further evidence and pay attention to sustainable development considerations, before judging conventional oil-based development policy strategies. © 2021
英文关键词	Energy policy; Input-output analysis; Mexico; Oil-exporting country; Policy analysis
语种	英语
scopus关键词	Economic and social effects; Employment; Energy policy; Energy security; Strategic planning; Sustainable development; Development policies; Development strategies; Economic impacts; Input-output; Input/Output analysis; Me-xico; National development; Oil-exporting country; Policy analysis; Social impact; Developing countries; developing world; energy management; energy policy; input-output analysis; oil production; price dynamics; strategic approach
来源期刊	Energy Policy
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256392
作者单位	School of Government and Public Transformation, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Mexico City, 03700, Mexico
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guevara Z.,Sebastian A.,Carranza Dumon F.. Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico[J],2022,161.
APA	Guevara Z.,Sebastian A.,&Carranza Dumon F..(2022).Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico.Energy Policy,161.
MLA	Guevara Z.,et al."Economy-wide impact of conventional development policies in oil-exporting developing countries: The case of Mexico".Energy Policy 161(2022).