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DOI | 10.1016/j.crm.2022.100400 |
Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping | |
Vinke F.; van Koningsveld M.; van Dorsser C.; Baart F.; van Gelder P.; Vellinga T. | |
发表日期 | 2022 |
ISSN | 2212-0963 |
卷号 | 35 |
英文摘要 | The river Rhine is one of Europe's busiest waterways and is part of the Rhine-Alpine corridor. In 2018 the river experienced a severe low discharge extreme. This impacted the river's transport capacity for a period of several months, causing shortages of source materials and fuels in regions far in-land. Historically, prolonged droughts of this magnitude are not uncommon. Concerns have been raised, however, that climate change may further increase their frequency and severity. Additionally the increased proportion of larger vessels in the overall fleet composition has made the supply of cargo via the river Rhine more vulnerable to reduced water depths. A better understanding of the risks and effects of sustained low water levels for Inland Waterway Transport network performance is therefore essential to enable sensible mitigation. An integral model that explicitly links the state of the river to supply chain performance at the scale of corridors, however, appears to be not yet available. This paper suggests a novel method to explicitly include the cascading effects of low discharge events (and mitigating measures) in climate risk assessments of waterborne supply chain performance, at system level. It is shown that its implementation can describe cascading effects and climate risks for fleet management and terminal operation. © 2022 |
英文关键词 | Cascading effects; Climate Change; Drought; Inland Waterway Transport; Supply chain performance |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Climate Risk Management |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/256086 |
作者单位 | Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Ports and Waterways section, P.O. Box 5048, GA Delft, 2600, Netherlands; Rijkswaterstaat, P.O. Box 2232, GE Utrecht, 3500, Netherlands; Van Oord Dredging and Marine Contractors B.V., P.O. Box 8574, AN Rotterdam, 3009, Netherlands; Trends and Transport B.V., Langesteijn 102, LG Hendrik Ido Ambacht, 3342, Netherlands; Deltares, P.O. Box 177, MH Delft, 2600, Netherlands; Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Technolgoy, Policy and Management, Safety and Security Science section, Delft, P.O. Box 5015, GA Delft, 2600, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vinke F.,van Koningsveld M.,van Dorsser C.,et al. Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping[J],2022,35. |
APA | Vinke F.,van Koningsveld M.,van Dorsser C.,Baart F.,van Gelder P.,&Vellinga T..(2022).Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping.Climate Risk Management,35. |
MLA | Vinke F.,et al."Cascading effects of sustained low water on inland shipping".Climate Risk Management 35(2022). |
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