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DOI10.1007/s00267-021-01431-8
Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater
Sheng, Danrui; Wen, Xiaohu; Wu, Jun; Wu, Min; Yu, Haijiao; Zhang, Chuanqi
通讯作者Wen, XH (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China. ; Wu, J (通讯作者),Ludong Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Engn, Yantai 264025, Shandong, Peoples R China.
发表日期2021
ISSN0364-152X
EISSN1432-1009
起始页码779
结束页码792
卷号67期号:4
英文摘要Probabilistic health risk assessment has widely been used for more realistic risk analysis of contaminants. However, the existing probabilistic modeling process may be unable to reflect the actual health risks comprehensively. In the present study, the Monte Carlo simulation was employed to assess the probabilistic health risks of exposing to arsenic (As) and cadmium (Cd) in groundwater through ingestion and dermal contact pathways. To systematically evaluate the actual health risks of residents, two scenarios of the probabilistic health risk assessment were proposed: (1) fixed exposure parameters, whereas uncertain metal concentrations, and (2) uncertain exposure parameters and metal concentrations. The results indicated that the mean hazard index (HI) for local residents was mostly accepted (HI < 1), while the non-cancer risk of infants at the 95th percentile under scenario 2 (HI = 1.42) exceeded the safe level of 1, signifying the potential non-cancer risk on infants. Meanwhile, the average total cancer risk (TCR) values were several times greater than the acceptable limit of 1E-06 for all the age groups under both scenarios 1 and 2, reflecting the unacceptable cancer risk. Moreover, sensitivity analysis identified the exposure duration (ED) and concentration factor (C-W) were the most relevant parameters that affect the health risk. Overall, the results of this study will be useful for the policy makers in comprehensively understanding the actual health risks of the heavy metal(loids) contamination in groundwater on receptors, as well as setting up suitable groundwater management strategies to guarantee safe water supply and to maintain health for local residents.
英文关键词Groundwater; Heavy metal(loids) pollution; Monte Carlo simulation; Probabilistic health risk assessment; Sensitivity analysis
语种英语
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000619685100002
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
来源机构中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/254295
作者单位[Sheng, Danrui; Wen, Xiaohu; Wu, Min] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; [Sheng, Danrui; Wu, Min] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Wu, Jun] Ludong Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Engn, Yantai 264025, Shandong, Peoples R China; [Yu, Haijiao] Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Chuanqi] Liaoning Huayi Environm Consulting Co Ltd, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sheng, Danrui,Wen, Xiaohu,Wu, Jun,et al. Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,67(4).
APA Sheng, Danrui,Wen, Xiaohu,Wu, Jun,Wu, Min,Yu, Haijiao,&Zhang, Chuanqi.(2021).Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater.ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,67(4).
MLA Sheng, Danrui,et al."Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater".ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 67.4(2021).
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