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DOI | 10.1007/s00267-021-01431-8 |
Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater | |
Sheng, Danrui; Wen, Xiaohu; Wu, Jun; Wu, Min; Yu, Haijiao; Zhang, Chuanqi | |
通讯作者 | Wen, XH (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China. ; Wu, J (通讯作者),Ludong Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Engn, Yantai 264025, Shandong, Peoples R China. |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 0364-152X |
EISSN | 1432-1009 |
起始页码 | 779 |
结束页码 | 792 |
卷号 | 67期号:4 |
英文摘要 | Probabilistic health risk assessment has widely been used for more realistic risk analysis of contaminants. However, the existing probabilistic modeling process may be unable to reflect the actual health risks comprehensively. In the present study, the Monte Carlo simulation was employed to assess the probabilistic health risks of exposing to arsenic (As) and cadmium (Cd) in groundwater through ingestion and dermal contact pathways. To systematically evaluate the actual health risks of residents, two scenarios of the probabilistic health risk assessment were proposed: (1) fixed exposure parameters, whereas uncertain metal concentrations, and (2) uncertain exposure parameters and metal concentrations. The results indicated that the mean hazard index (HI) for local residents was mostly accepted (HI < 1), while the non-cancer risk of infants at the 95th percentile under scenario 2 (HI = 1.42) exceeded the safe level of 1, signifying the potential non-cancer risk on infants. Meanwhile, the average total cancer risk (TCR) values were several times greater than the acceptable limit of 1E-06 for all the age groups under both scenarios 1 and 2, reflecting the unacceptable cancer risk. Moreover, sensitivity analysis identified the exposure duration (ED) and concentration factor (C-W) were the most relevant parameters that affect the health risk. Overall, the results of this study will be useful for the policy makers in comprehensively understanding the actual health risks of the heavy metal(loids) contamination in groundwater on receptors, as well as setting up suitable groundwater management strategies to guarantee safe water supply and to maintain health for local residents. |
英文关键词 | Groundwater; Heavy metal(loids) pollution; Monte Carlo simulation; Probabilistic health risk assessment; Sensitivity analysis |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000619685100002 |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
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来源机构 | 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院 |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/254295 |
作者单位 | [Sheng, Danrui; Wen, Xiaohu; Wu, Min] Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Ecohydrol Inland River Basin, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China; [Sheng, Danrui; Wu, Min] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Wu, Jun] Ludong Univ, Sch Resources & Environm Engn, Yantai 264025, Shandong, Peoples R China; [Yu, Haijiao] Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Chuanqi] Liaoning Huayi Environm Consulting Co Ltd, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sheng, Danrui,Wen, Xiaohu,Wu, Jun,et al. Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,67(4). |
APA | Sheng, Danrui,Wen, Xiaohu,Wu, Jun,Wu, Min,Yu, Haijiao,&Zhang, Chuanqi.(2021).Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater.ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,67(4). |
MLA | Sheng, Danrui,et al."Comprehensive Probabilistic Health Risk Assessment for Exposure to Arsenic and Cadmium in Groundwater".ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 67.4(2021). |
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