CCPortal
DOI10.1007/s00382-020-05617-4
Historical and future climates over the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin simulated by a regional climate model in CORDEX
Wang, Xuejia; Chen, Deliang; Pang, Guojin; Gou, Xiaohua; Yang, Meixue
通讯作者Wang, XJ (通讯作者),Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China. ; Wang, XJ ; Chen, DL (通讯作者),Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Reginal Climate Grp, Gothenburg, Sweden.
发表日期2021
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
起始页码2749
结束页码2771
卷号56期号:9-10
英文摘要Despite the importance of the Yellow River to China, climate change for the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) has been investigated far less than for other regions. This work focuses on future changes in mean and extreme climate of the YRB for the near-term (2021-2040), mid-term (2041-2060), and far-term (2081-2100) future, and assesses these with respect to the reference period (1986-2005) using the latest REgional MOdel (REMO) simulations, driven by three global climate models (GCMs) and assuming historical and future [Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and 8.5] forcing scenarios, over the CORDEX East Asia domain at 0.22 degrees horizontal resolution. The results show that REMO reproduces the historical mean climate state and selected extreme climate indices reasonably well, although some cold and wet biases exist. Increases in mean temperature are strongest for the far-term in winter, with an average increase of 5.6 degrees C under RCP 8.5. As expected, the future temperatures of the warmest day (TXx) and coldest night (TNn) increase and the number of frost days (FD) declines considerably. Changes to mean temperature and FD depend on elevation, which could be explained by the snow-albedo feedback. A substantial increase in precipitation (34%) occurs in winter under RCP 8.5 for the far-term. Interannual variability in precipitation is projected to increase, indicating a future climate with more extreme events compared to that of today. Future daily precipitation intensity and maximum 5-day precipitation would increase and the number of consecutive dry days would decline under RCP 8.5. The results highlight that pronounced warming at high altitudes and more intense rainfall could cause increased future flood risk in the YRB, if a high GHG emission pathway is realized.
英文关键词Climate projection; Yellow river basin; REMO; Extreme temperature; Extreme precipitation; RCP scenario
语种英语
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:000615560100002
来源期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
来源机构中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/253912
作者单位[Wang, Xuejia; Yang, Meixue] Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Cryospher Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China; [Wang, Xuejia; Chen, Deliang; Pang, Guojin] Univ Gothenburg, Dept Earth Sci, Reginal Climate Grp, Gothenburg, Sweden; [Gou, Xiaohua] Lanzhou Jiaotong Univ, Fac Geomat, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China; [Gou, Xiaohua] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Xuejia,Chen, Deliang,Pang, Guojin,et al. Historical and future climates over the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin simulated by a regional climate model in CORDEX[J]. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院,2021,56(9-10).
APA Wang, Xuejia,Chen, Deliang,Pang, Guojin,Gou, Xiaohua,&Yang, Meixue.(2021).Historical and future climates over the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin simulated by a regional climate model in CORDEX.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,56(9-10).
MLA Wang, Xuejia,et al."Historical and future climates over the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin simulated by a regional climate model in CORDEX".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 56.9-10(2021).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Wang, Xuejia]的文章
[Chen, Deliang]的文章
[Pang, Guojin]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Wang, Xuejia]的文章
[Chen, Deliang]的文章
[Pang, Guojin]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Wang, Xuejia]的文章
[Chen, Deliang]的文章
[Pang, Guojin]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。