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DOI10.1038/s41467-020-20324-8
Alternating quarantine for sustainable epidemic mitigation
Meidan D.; Schulmann N.; Cohen R.; Haber S.; Yaniv E.; Sarid R.; Barzel B.
发表日期2021
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要Absent pharmaceutical interventions, social distancing, lock-downs and mobility restrictions remain our prime response in the face of epidemic outbreaks. To ease their potentially devastating socioeconomic consequences, we propose here an alternating quarantine strategy: at every instance, half of the population remains under lockdown while the other half continues to be active - maintaining a routine of weekly succession between activity and quarantine. This regime minimizes infectious interactions, as it allows only half of the population to interact for just half of the time. As a result it provides a dramatic reduction in transmission, comparable to that achieved by a population-wide lockdown, despite sustaining socioeconomic continuity at ~50% capacity. The weekly alternations also help address the specific challenge of COVID-19, as their periodicity synchronizes with the natural SARS-CoV-2 disease time-scales, allowing to effectively isolate the majority of infected individuals precisely at the time of their peak infection. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词disease transmission; drug; epidemic; infectious disease; mitigation; mobility; periodicity; quarantine; severe acute respiratory syndrome; socioeconomic conditions; adult; Article; cohort analysis; coronavirus disease 2019; epidemic; hospitalization; household; human; immune response; infection risk; lockdown; major clinical study; mortality; pandemic; periodicity; personal hygiene; productivity; quarantine; sibling; social distancing; social interaction; social network; socioeconomics; virus transmission; vulnerable population; workforce; workplace; communicable disease control; disease transmission; epidemiology; pandemic; prevention and control; procedures; SARS coronavirus; Communicable Disease Control; COVID-19; Disease Transmission, Infectious; Humans; Pandemics; Physical Distancing; Quarantine; SARS-CoV-2; Social Networking; Socioeconomic Factors
来源期刊Nature Communications
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/251560
作者单位Department of Mathematics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel; Department of Mechanical Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Milan, Italy; MIMESIS, Inria, Strasbourg, France; Graduate School of Business Administration, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel; Faculty of Life Sciences & Institute of Nanotechnology and Advanced Materials, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel; Gonda Multidisciplinary Brain Research Center, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
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Meidan D.,Schulmann N.,Cohen R.,et al. Alternating quarantine for sustainable epidemic mitigation[J],2021,12(1).
APA Meidan D..,Schulmann N..,Cohen R..,Haber S..,Yaniv E..,...&Barzel B..(2021).Alternating quarantine for sustainable epidemic mitigation.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA Meidan D.,et al."Alternating quarantine for sustainable epidemic mitigation".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
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