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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-021-24008-9 |
A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping | |
Almar R.; Ranasinghe R.; Bergsma E.W.J.; Diaz H.; Melet A.; Papa F.; Vousdoukas M.; Athanasiou P.; Dada O.; Almeida L.P.; Kestenare E. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Climate change and anthropogenic pressures are widely expected to exacerbate coastal hazards such as episodic coastal flooding. This study presents global-scale potential coastal overtopping estimates, which account for not only the effects of sea level rise and storm surge, but also for wave runup at exposed open coasts. Here we find that the globally aggregated annual overtopping hours have increased by almost 50% over the last two decades. A first-pass future assessment indicates that globally aggregated annual overtopping hours will accelerate faster than the global mean sea-level rise itself, with a clearly discernible increase occurring around mid-century regardless of climate scenario. Under RCP 8.5, the globally aggregated annual overtopping hours by the end of the 21st-century is projected to be up to 50 times larger compared to present-day. As sea level continues to rise, more regions around the world are projected to become exposed to coastal overtopping. © 2021, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | coastal water; global perspective; overtopping; sea level change; storm surge; water level; article; climate; coastal waters; sea level rise; seashore; storm surge |
来源期刊 | Nature Communications |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/251411 |
作者单位 | LEGOS (CNRS/IRD/CNES/Toulouse University), Toulouse, France; Department of Coastal and Urban Risk & Resilience, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, Netherlands; Harbour, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Deltares, Delft, Netherlands; Water Engineering and Management, Faculty of Engineering Technology, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands; EOLab, French Space Agency (CNES - Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales), Toulouse, France; Mercator-Ocean, Toulouse, France; Universidade de Brasília (UnB), IRD, Instituto de Geociências, Brasília, Brazil; European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy; Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande, Brazil; +ATLANTIC, Edifício LACS Estrada da Malveira da Serra, Cascais, Portugal |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Almar R.,Ranasinghe R.,Bergsma E.W.J.,et al. A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping[J],2021,12(1). |
APA | Almar R..,Ranasinghe R..,Bergsma E.W.J..,Diaz H..,Melet A..,...&Kestenare E..(2021).A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping.Nature Communications,12(1). |
MLA | Almar R.,et al."A global analysis of extreme coastal water levels with implications for potential coastal overtopping".Nature Communications 12.1(2021). |
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