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DOI10.1016/j.scib.2021.08.013
Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO2 forcing
Song S.-Y.; Yeh S.-W.; An S.-I.; Kug J.-S.; Min S.-K.; Son S.-W.; Shin J.
发表日期2022
卷号67期号:2
英文摘要Understanding the regional hydrological response to varying CO2 concentration is critical for cost-benefit analysis of mitigation and adaptation polices in the near future. To characterize summer monsoon rainfall change in East Asia in a changing CO2 pathway, we used the Community Earth System Model (CESM) with 28 ensemble members in which the CO2 concentration increases at a rate of 1% per year until its quadrupling peak, i.e., 1468 ppm (ramp-up period), followed by a decrease of 1% per year until the present-day climate conditions, i.e., 367 ppm (ramp-down period). Although the CO2 concentration change is symmetric in time, the amount of summer rainfall anomaly in East Asia is increased 42% during a ramp-down period than that during a ramp-up period when the two periods of the same CO2 concentration are compared. This asymmetrical rainfall response is mainly due to an enhanced El Niño-like warming pattern as well as its associated increase in the sea surface temperature in the western North Pacific during a ramp-down period. These sea surface temperature patterns enhance the atmospheric teleconnections and the local meridional circulations around East Asia, resulting in more rainfall over East Asia during a ramp-down period. This result implies that the removal of CO2 does not guarantee the return of regional rainfall to the previous climate state with the same CO2 concentration. © 2021
英文关键词Asymmetric rainfall; CO2 concentration; East Asian summer monsoon; El Niño-like warming
语种英语
scopus关键词Atmospheric temperature; Atmospheric thermodynamics; Carbon dioxide; Climate change; Climate models; Cost benefit analysis; Oceanography; Submarine geophysics; Surface properties; Surface waters; Asymmetric rainfall; Asymmetrical response; CO 2 concentration; East Asia; East Asian summer monsoon; EL Nino; El nino-like warming; Ramp up; Summer rainfall; Up period; Rain
来源期刊Science Bulletin
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/251209
作者单位Department of Marine Sciences and Convergence Technology, Hanyang University, Ansan, 15588, South Korea; Department of Atmospheric Sciences/Irreversible Climate Change Research Center, Yonsei University, Seoul, 03722, South Korea; Division of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, 37673, South Korea; Institute for Convergence Research and Education in Advanced Technology, Yonsei University, Incheon, 21983, South Korea; School of Earth and Environmental Science, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, South Korea
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GB/T 7714
Song S.-Y.,Yeh S.-W.,An S.-I.,et al. Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO2 forcing[J],2022,67(2).
APA Song S.-Y..,Yeh S.-W..,An S.-I..,Kug J.-S..,Min S.-K..,...&Shin J..(2022).Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO2 forcing.Science Bulletin,67(2).
MLA Song S.-Y.,et al."Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO2 forcing".Science Bulletin 67.2(2022).
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