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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-020-20836-3 |
Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects | |
Clark J.S.; Andrus R.; Aubry-Kientz M.; Bergeron Y.; Bogdziewicz M.; Bragg D.C.; Brockway D.; Cleavitt N.L.; Cohen S.; Courbaud B.; Daley R.; Das A.J.; Dietze M.; Fahey T.J.; Fer I.; Franklin J.F.; Gehring C.A.; Gilbert G.S.; Greenberg C.H.; Guo Q.; HilleRisLambers J.; Ibanez I.; Johnstone J.; Kilner C.L.; Knops J.; Koenig W.D.; Kunstler G.; LaMontagne J.M.; Legg K.L.; Luongo J.; Lutz J.A.; Macias D.; McIntire E.J.B.; Messaoud Y.; Moore C.M.; Moran E.; Myers J.A.; Myers O.B.; Nunez C.; Parmenter R.; Pearse S.; Pearson S.; Poulton-Kamakura R.; Ready E.; Redmond M.D.; Reid C.D.; Rodman K.C.; Scher C.L.; Schlesinger W.H.; Schwantes A.M.; Shanahan E.; Sharma S.; Steele M.A.; Stephenson N.L.; Sutton S.; Swenson J.J.; Swift M.; Veblen T.T.; Whipple A.V.; Whitham T.G.; Wion A.P.; Zhu K.; Zlotin R. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Indirect climate effects on tree fecundity that come through variation in size and growth (climate-condition interactions) are not currently part of models used to predict future forests. Trends in species abundances predicted from meta-analyses and species distribution models will be misleading if they depend on the conditions of individuals. Here we find from a synthesis of tree species in North America that climate-condition interactions dominate responses through two pathways, i) effects of growth that depend on climate, and ii) effects of climate that depend on tree size. Because tree fecundity first increases and then declines with size, climate change that stimulates growth promotes a shift of small trees to more fecund sizes, but the opposite can be true for large sizes. Change the depresses growth also affects fecundity. We find a biogeographic divide, with these interactions reducing fecundity in the West and increasing it in the East. Continental-scale responses of these forests are thus driven largely by indirect effects, recommending management for climate change that considers multiple demographic rates. © 2021, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | biogeography; demography; fecundity; meta-analysis; numerical model; trend analysis; adult; article; climate change; demography; female; fertility; forest; human; male; meta analysis; North America; population abundance; species distribution; synthesis; fertility; geography; physiology; season; theoretical model; tree; North America; Climate Change; Fertility; Geography; Models, Theoretical; North America; Seasons; Trees |
来源期刊 | Nature Communications |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250762 |
作者单位 | Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States; INRAE, LESSEM, University Grenoble Alpes, Saint-Martin-d’Heres, France; Department of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; School of Natural Sciences, University of California, Merced, Merced, CA, United States; Forest Research Institute, University of Quebec in Abitibi-Temiscamingue, Rouyn-Noranda, QC, Canada; Department of Systematic Zoology, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland; USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Monticello, AR, United States; USDA Forest Service Southern Research Station, Auburn, AL, United States; Natural Resources, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States; Institute for the Environment, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States; Greater Yellowstone Network, National Park Service, Bozeman, MT, United States; USGS Western Ecological Research Center, Three Rivers, CA, United States; Earth and Envi... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Clark J.S.,Andrus R.,Aubry-Kientz M.,et al. Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects[J],2021,12(1). |
APA | Clark J.S..,Andrus R..,Aubry-Kientz M..,Bergeron Y..,Bogdziewicz M..,...&Zlotin R..(2021).Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects.Nature Communications,12(1). |
MLA | Clark J.S.,et al."Continent-wide tree fecundity driven by indirect climate effects".Nature Communications 12.1(2021). |
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