CCPortal
DOI10.1038/s41467-021-22153-9
Climate signals in river flood damages emerge under sound regional disaggregation
Sauer I.J.; Reese R.; Otto C.; Geiger T.; Willner S.N.; Guillod B.P.; Bresch D.N.; Frieler K.
发表日期2021
ISSN2041-1723
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要Climate change affects precipitation patterns. Here, we investigate whether its signals are already detectable in reported river flood damages. We develop an empirical model to reconstruct observed damages and quantify the contributions of climate and socio-economic drivers to observed trends. We show that, on the level of nine world regions, trends in damages are dominated by increasing exposure and modulated by changes in vulnerability, while climate-induced trends are comparably small and mostly statistically insignificant, with the exception of South & Sub-Saharan Africa and Eastern Asia. However, when disaggregating the world regions into subregions based on river-basins with homogenous historical discharge trends, climate contributions to damages become statistically significant globally, in Asia and Latin America. In most regions, we find monotonous climate-induced damage trends but more years of observations would be needed to distinguish between the impacts of anthropogenic climate forcing and multidecadal oscillations. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种英语
scopus关键词climate change; climate forcing; climate signal; flood damage; socioeconomic status; Africa south of the Sahara; article; Asia; climate; human; oscillation; river basin; sound; South and Central America; Far East; Latin America; Sub-Saharan Africa
来源期刊Nature Communications
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250720
作者单位Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Climate and Environment Consultancy, Stahnsdorf, Germany; Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich-Airport, Switzerland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sauer I.J.,Reese R.,Otto C.,et al. Climate signals in river flood damages emerge under sound regional disaggregation[J],2021,12(1).
APA Sauer I.J..,Reese R..,Otto C..,Geiger T..,Willner S.N..,...&Frieler K..(2021).Climate signals in river flood damages emerge under sound regional disaggregation.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA Sauer I.J.,et al."Climate signals in river flood damages emerge under sound regional disaggregation".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Sauer I.J.]的文章
[Reese R.]的文章
[Otto C.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Sauer I.J.]的文章
[Reese R.]的文章
[Otto C.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Sauer I.J.]的文章
[Reese R.]的文章
[Otto C.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。