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DOI | 10.1038/s41467-021-23010-5 |
Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios | |
de Vrese P.; Brovkin V. | |
发表日期 | 2021 |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
卷号 | 12期号:1 |
英文摘要 | Minimizing the risks and impacts of climate change requires limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels, while the difficulty of reducing carbon emissions at the necessary rate increases the likelihood of temporarily overshooting this climate target. Using simulations with the land surface model JSBACH, we show that it takes high-latitude ecosystems and the state of permafrost-affected soils several centuries to adjust to the atmospheric conditions that arise at the 1.5 °C-target. Here, a temporary warming of the Arctic entails important legacy effects and we show that feedbacks between water-, energy- and carbon cycles allow for multiple steady-states in permafrost regions, which differ with respect to the physical state of the soil, the soil carbon concentrations and the terrestrial carbon uptake and -release. The steady-states depend on the soil organic matter content at the point of climate stabilization, which is significantly affected by an overshoot-induced soil carbon loss. © 2021, The Author(s). |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | carbon; soil organic matter; water; carbon cycle; carbon emission; climate change; climate effect; emission control; land surface; permafrost; scenario analysis; temperature effect; timescale; Arctic; Article; carbon cycle; climate; feedback system; latitude; permafrost; soil temperature; steady state; temperature; warming; Arctic |
来源期刊 | Nature Communications
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250700 |
作者单位 | Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, The Land in the Earth System, Hamburg, Germany; Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | de Vrese P.,Brovkin V.. Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios[J],2021,12(1). |
APA | de Vrese P.,&Brovkin V..(2021).Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios.Nature Communications,12(1). |
MLA | de Vrese P.,et al."Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios".Nature Communications 12.1(2021). |
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