气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects

CCPortal

DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-24091-y
	Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects
	Grewe V.; Gangoli Rao A.; Grönstedt T.; Xisto C.; Linke F.; Melkert J.; Middel J.; Ohlenforst B.; Blakey S.; Christie S.; Matthes S.; Dahlmann K.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	Aviation is an important contributor to the global economy, satisfying society’s mobility needs. It contributes to climate change through CO2 and non-CO2 effects, including contrail-cirrus and ozone formation. There is currently significant interest in policies, regulations and research aiming to reduce aviation’s climate impact. Here we model the effect of these measures on global warming and perform a bottom-up analysis of potential technical improvements, challenging the assumptions of the targets for the sector with a number of scenarios up to 2100. We show that although the emissions targets for aviation are in line with the overall goals of the Paris Agreement, there is a high likelihood that the climate impact of aviation will not meet these goals. Our assessment includes feasible technological advancements and the availability of sustainable aviation fuels. This conclusion is robust for several COVID-19 recovery scenarios, including changes in travel behaviour. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	fuel; carbon dioxide; ozone; climate change; climate effect; COVID-19; emission; global warming; health impact; international agreement; scenario analysis; aircraft; Article; aviation; climate change; coronavirus disease 2019; environmental impact; France; greenhouse effect; human; adverse event; air pollution; aviation; chemistry; epidemiology; exhaust gas; greenhouse effect; isolation and purification; toxicity; virology; Air Pollution; Aviation; Carbon Dioxide; Climate Change; COVID-19; Global Warming; Humans; Ozone; Paris; SARS-CoV-2; Vehicle Emissions
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250668
作者单位	Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; ECATS International Association, Brussels, Belgium; Mechanics and Maritime Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden; Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Lufttransportsysteme, Hamburg, Germany; Royal Netherlands Aerospace Centre (NLR), Amsterdam, Netherlands; University of Birmingham, Mechanical Engineering, Birmingham, United Kingdom; University of Sheffield, Mechanical Engineering, Low Carbon Combustion Centre, Sheffield, United Kingdom; Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Grewe V.,Gangoli Rao A.,Grönstedt T.,et al. Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects[J],2021,12(1).
APA	Grewe V..,Gangoli Rao A..,Grönstedt T..,Xisto C..,Linke F..,...&Dahlmann K..(2021).Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	Grewe V.,et al."Evaluating the climate impact of aviation emission scenarios towards the Paris agreement including COVID-19 effects".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).