气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century

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DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-24268-5
	Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century
	Vecchi G.A.; Landsea C.; Zhang W.; Villarini G.; Knutson T.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	Atlantic hurricanes are a major hazard to life and property, and a topic of intense scientific interest. Historical changes in observing practices limit the utility of century-scale records of Atlantic major hurricane frequency. To evaluate past changes in frequency, we have here developed a homogenization method for Atlantic hurricane and major hurricane frequency over 1851–2019. We find that recorded century-scale increases in Atlantic hurricane and major hurricane frequency, and associated decrease in USA hurricanes strike fraction, are consistent with changes in observing practices and not likely a true climate trend. After homogenization, increases in basin-wide hurricane and major hurricane activity since the 1970s are not part of a century-scale increase, but a recovery from a deep minimum in the 1960s–1980s. We suggest internal (e.g., Atlantic multidecadal) climate variability and aerosol-induced mid-to-late-20th century major hurricane frequency reductions have probably masked century-scale greenhouse-gas warming contributions to North Atlantic major hurricane frequency. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	frequency analysis; greenhouse gas; hurricane; warming; aerosol; article; climate change; greenhouse gas; hurricane; warming; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North)
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250656
作者单位	Geosciences Department, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Miami, FL, United States; Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States; IIHR-Hydroscience & Engineering, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States; Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vecchi G.A.,Landsea C.,Zhang W.,et al. Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century[J],2021,12(1).
APA	Vecchi G.A.,Landsea C.,Zhang W.,Villarini G.,&Knutson T..(2021).Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	Vecchi G.A.,et al."Changes in Atlantic major hurricane frequency since the late-19th century".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).