气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise

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DOI	10.1038/s41467-021-27260-1
	Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise
	Hauer M.E.; Hardy D.; Kulp S.A.; Mueller V.; Wrathall D.J.; Clark P.U.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	2041-1723
卷号	12 期号:1
英文摘要	The exposure of populations to sea-level rise (SLR) is a leading indicator assessing the impact of future climate change on coastal regions. SLR exposes coastal populations to a spectrum of impacts with broad spatial and temporal heterogeneity, but exposure assessments often narrowly define the spatial zone of flooding. Here we show how choice of zone results in differential exposure estimates across space and time. Further, we apply a spatio-temporal flood-modeling approach that integrates across these spatial zones to assess the annual probability of population exposure. We apply our model to the coastal United States to demonstrate a more robust assessment of population exposure to flooding from SLR in any given year. Our results suggest that more explicit decisions regarding spatial zone (and associated temporal implication) will improve adaptation planning and policies by indicating the relative chance and magnitude of coastal populations to be affected by future SLR. © 2021, The Author(s).
语种	英语
scopus关键词	climate change; coastal zone; flooding; probability; sea level change; spatiotemporal analysis; article; flooding; population exposure; probability; sea level rise; United States; United States; Indicator indicator
来源期刊	Nature Communications
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/250568
作者单位	Department of Sociology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, United States; Center for Demography and Population Health, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, United States; School of the Earth, Ocean, & Environment, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC 29208, United States; Department of Geography, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC 29208, United States; Climate Central, Princeton, NJ 08542, United States; School of Politics and Global Studies, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-3902, United States; International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC 20005, United States; College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331-5503, United States; School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, University of Ulster, Coleraine, BT52 1SA, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hauer M.E.,Hardy D.,Kulp S.A.,et al. Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise[J],2021,12(1).
APA	Hauer M.E.,Hardy D.,Kulp S.A.,Mueller V.,Wrathall D.J.,&Clark P.U..(2021).Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise.Nature Communications,12(1).
MLA	Hauer M.E.,et al."Assessing population exposure to coastal flooding due to sea level rise".Nature Communications 12.1(2021).