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DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117845 |
Modifying effects of temperature on human mortality related to black carbon particulates in Beijing, China | |
Zhang Y.; Zhang X.; Fan X.; Ni C.; Sun Z.; Wang S.; Fan J.; Zheng C. | |
发表日期 | 2020 |
ISSN | 1352-2310 |
卷号 | 243 |
英文摘要 | Worldwide epidemiological studies have demonstrated that short-term associations of particulate matter (PM), might be further complicated by ambient temperatures, and increase human mortality. In China, among various PM indices, the health effects of black carbon (BC) are less understood due to the lack of data availability. Additionally, it is unclear how temperature modifies simultaneous and adverse effects of BC, and fine (PM size <2.5 μm; PM2.5), and coarse particles (PM2.5-10), on mortality outcomes. We adopted time-series Poisson generalized additive models to investigate temperature modifying effects on the association between three different PMs (BC, PM2.5, and PM2.5-10) and mortality (non-accidental, respiratory and cardiovascular mortality) in Beijing, China, from 2010 to 2016. Average daily BC, PM2.5, and PM2.5-10 concentrations were 4.95, 72.3, and 52.1 μg/m3, respectively, which were all significantly associated with daily mortality. High temperature strongly amplified effects of BC, PM2.5, and PM2.5-10 on human mortality, especially BC effects that were most pronounced at >28 °C. Harmful effects were estimated for increases in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality per interquartile increments in BC (4.11 μg/m3), PM2.5 (62.37 μg/m3), and PM2.5-10 (46.71 μg/m3) concentrations from the moving average of current and previous day (lag01) under high temperature (>28 °C). Mortality increases in non-accidental, respiratory, and cardiovascular categories were 5.12% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.79, 5.45), 7.41% (95%CI: 6.42, 8.40), and 6.36% (95%CI: 2.45, 10.3) for BC; 3.85% (95%CI: 3.27, 4.43), 6.64% (95%CI: 5.63, 7.65), and 4.54% (95%CI: 3.31, 5.78) for PM2.5; and 2.56% (95%CI: 1.45, 3.67), 3.41% (95%CI: 1.53, 5.29), and 3.19% (95%CI: 2.44, 3.94), for PM2.5-10, respectively. These findings suggest that controlling the emission of ambient particles, especially BC, and improving air quality during summer would substantially benefit population health. Furthermore, BC should be considered as a crucial air quality indicator to reflect PM health risk. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd |
关键词 | Black carbonModifying effectMortalityParticulate matterTemperature |
语种 | 英语 |
scopus关键词 | Accidents; Air quality; Carbon; Health; Health risks; Particles (particulate matter); Ambient particles; Cardiovascular mortality; Confidence interval; Data availability; Epidemiological studies; Generalized additive model; Particulate Matter; Quality indicators; Temperature; black carbon; air quality; ambient air; black carbon; confidence interval; epidemiology; mortality; temperature effect; air quality; Article; cardiovascular disease; China; concentration (parameter); environmental exposure; environmental temperature; health hazard; high temperature; human; mortality; particulate matter 10; particulate matter 2.5; Poisson distribution; population health; priority journal; respiratory tract disease; summer; time series analysis; Beijing [China]; China |
来源期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/248898 |
作者单位 | Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, Sichuan 610225, China; Department of Geography and Geology, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY 42101, United States; College of Electric Engineering, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, Sichuan 610000, China; Institute of Urban Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, 100089, China; National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China; Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai, 200030, China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang Y.,Zhang X.,Fan X.,et al. Modifying effects of temperature on human mortality related to black carbon particulates in Beijing, China[J],2020,243. |
APA | Zhang Y..,Zhang X..,Fan X..,Ni C..,Sun Z..,...&Zheng C..(2020).Modifying effects of temperature on human mortality related to black carbon particulates in Beijing, China.ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT,243. |
MLA | Zhang Y.,et al."Modifying effects of temperature on human mortality related to black carbon particulates in Beijing, China".ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT 243(2020). |
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