气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Past climates inform our future

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.aay3701
	Past climates inform our future
	Tierney J.E.; Poulsen C.J.; Montañez I.P.; Bhattacharya T.; Feng R.; Ford H.L.; Hönisch B.; Inglis G.N.; Petersen S.V.; Sagoo N.; Tabor C.R.; Thirumalai K.; Zhu J.; Burls N.J.; Foster G.L.; Goddéris Y.; Huber B.T.; Ivany L.C.; Turner S.K.; Lunt D.J.; McElwain J.C.; Mills B.J.W.; Otto-Bliesner B.L.; Ridgwell A.; Zhang Y.G.
发表日期	2020
ISSN	0036-8075
卷号	370 期号:6517
英文摘要	As the world warms, there is a profound need to improve projections of climate change. Although the latest Earth system models offer an unprecedented number of features, fundamental uncertainties continue to cloud our view of the future. Past climates provide the only opportunity to observe how the Earth system responds to high carbon dioxide, underlining a fundamental role for paleoclimatology in constraining future climate change. Here, we review the relevancy of paleoclimate information for climate prediction and discuss the prospects for emerging methodologies to further insights gained from past climates. Advances in proxy methods and interpretations pave the way for the use of past climates for model evaluation—a practice that we argue should be widely adopted. © 2020 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	carbon dioxide; climate prediction; cloud cover; future prospect; paleoclimate; proxy climate record; uncertainty analysis; paleoclimate; prediction; review
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245753
作者单位	Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, United States; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States; Department of Geosciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, United States; School of Geography, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom; Department of Meteorology, University of Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA,...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tierney J.E.,Poulsen C.J.,Montañez I.P.,et al. Past climates inform our future[J],2020,370(6517).
APA	Tierney J.E..,Poulsen C.J..,Montañez I.P..,Bhattacharya T..,Feng R..,...&Zhang Y.G..(2020).Past climates inform our future.Science,370(6517).
MLA	Tierney J.E.,et al."Past climates inform our future".Science 370.6517(2020).