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DOI | 10.1126/science.1139426 |
Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover | |
Serreze M.C.; Holland M.M.; Stroeve J. | |
发表日期 | 2007 |
ISSN | 0036-8075 |
起始页码 | 1533 |
结束页码 | 1536 |
卷号 | 315期号:5818 |
英文摘要 | Linear trends in arctic sea-ice extent over the period 1979 to 2006 are negative in every month. This ice loss is best viewed as a combination of strong natural variability in the coupled ice-ocean-atmosphere system and a growing radiative forcing associated with rising concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases, the latter supported by evidence of qualitative consistency between observed trends and those simulated by climate models over the same period. Although the large scatter between individual model simulations leads to much uncertainty as to when a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean might be realized, this transition to a new arctic state may be rapid once the ice thins to a more vulnerable state. Loss of the ice cover is expected to affect the Arctic's freshwater system and surface energy budget and could be manifested in middle latitudes as altered patterns of atmospheric circulation and precipitation. |
英文关键词 | ice; atmosphere-ocean coupling; atmospheric circulation; climate change; energy budget; greenhouse gas; ice retreat; ice-ocean interaction; precipitation (climatology); radiative forcing; sea ice; surface energy; trend analysis; Arctic; climate change; computer model; environmental impact assessment; environmental temperature; glacier; greenhouse effect; priority journal; review; sea ice; seasonal variation; solar energy; Arctic Ocean |
语种 | 英语 |
来源期刊 | Science
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245429 |
作者单位 | Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0449, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Post Office Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United States |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Serreze M.C.,Holland M.M.,Stroeve J.. Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover[J],2007,315(5818). |
APA | Serreze M.C.,Holland M.M.,&Stroeve J..(2007).Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover.Science,315(5818). |
MLA | Serreze M.C.,et al."Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover".Science 315.5818(2007). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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