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DOI10.1126/science.1139426
Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover
Serreze M.C.; Holland M.M.; Stroeve J.
发表日期2007
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码1533
结束页码1536
卷号315期号:5818
英文摘要Linear trends in arctic sea-ice extent over the period 1979 to 2006 are negative in every month. This ice loss is best viewed as a combination of strong natural variability in the coupled ice-ocean-atmosphere system and a growing radiative forcing associated with rising concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases, the latter supported by evidence of qualitative consistency between observed trends and those simulated by climate models over the same period. Although the large scatter between individual model simulations leads to much uncertainty as to when a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean might be realized, this transition to a new arctic state may be rapid once the ice thins to a more vulnerable state. Loss of the ice cover is expected to affect the Arctic's freshwater system and surface energy budget and could be manifested in middle latitudes as altered patterns of atmospheric circulation and precipitation.
英文关键词ice; atmosphere-ocean coupling; atmospheric circulation; climate change; energy budget; greenhouse gas; ice retreat; ice-ocean interaction; precipitation (climatology); radiative forcing; sea ice; surface energy; trend analysis; Arctic; climate change; computer model; environmental impact assessment; environmental temperature; glacier; greenhouse effect; priority journal; review; sea ice; seasonal variation; solar energy; Arctic Ocean
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245429
作者单位Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0449, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Post Office Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, United States
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Serreze M.C.,Holland M.M.,Stroeve J.. Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover[J],2007,315(5818).
APA Serreze M.C.,Holland M.M.,&Stroeve J..(2007).Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover.Science,315(5818).
MLA Serreze M.C.,et al."Perspectives on the Arctic's shrinking sea-ice cover".Science 315.5818(2007).
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