气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Cascading regime shifts within and across scales

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.aat7850
	Cascading regime shifts within and across scales
	Rocha J.C.; Peterson G.; Bodin Ö.; Levin S.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1379
结束页码	1383
卷号	362 期号:6421
英文摘要	Regime shifts are large, abrupt, and persistent critical transitions in the function and structure of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these transitions will interact, whether the occurrence of one will increase the likelihood of another or simply correlate at distant places. We explored two types of cascading effects: Domino effects create one-way dependencies, whereas hidden feedbacks produce two-way interactions. We compare them with the control case of driver sharing, which can induce correlations. Using 30 regime shifts described as networks, we show that 45% of regime shift pairwise combinations present at least one plausible structural interdependence. The likelihood of cascading effects depends on cross-scale interactions but differs for each type. Management of regime shifts should account for potential connections. © 2018 American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	connectivity; correlation; ecosystem function; ecosystem structure; one-dimensional modeling; persistence; two-dimensional modeling; Article; climate; coral reef; ecosystem; environmental change; environmental stress; eutrophication; feedback system; greenhouse effect; human; hypoxia; priority journal; regime shift; society; climate change; ecosystem; time factor; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Time Factors
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/245254
作者单位	Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Kräftriket 2B, Stockholm, 10691, Sweden; Beijer Institute, Swedish Royal Academy of Sciences, Lilla Frescativägen 4A, Stockholm, 104 05, Sweden; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, 106A Guyot Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544-1003, United States; Resources for the Future, Washington, DC 20036, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rocha J.C.,Peterson G.,Bodin Ö.,et al. Cascading regime shifts within and across scales[J],2018,362(6421).
APA	Rocha J.C.,Peterson G.,Bodin Ö.,&Levin S..(2018).Cascading regime shifts within and across scales.Science,362(6421).
MLA	Rocha J.C.,et al."Cascading regime shifts within and across scales".Science 362.6421(2018).