气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence

CCPortal

DOI	10.1126/science.aat6711
	Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence
	Murakami H.; Levin E.; Delworth T.L.; Gudgel R.; Hsu P.-C.
发表日期	2018
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	794
结束页码	799
卷号	362 期号:6416
英文摘要	Here we explore factors potentially linked to the enhanced major hurricane activity in the Atlantic Ocean during 2017. Using a suite of high-resolution model experiments, we show that the increase in 2017 major hurricanes was not primarily caused by La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean but rather triggered mainly by pronounced warm sea surface conditions in the tropical North Atlantic. Further, we superimpose a similar pattern of North Atlantic surface warming on data for long-term increasing sea surface temperature (a product of increases in greenhouse gas concentrations and decreases in aerosols) to show that this warming trend will likely lead to even higher numbers of major hurricanes in the future. The key factor controlling Atlantic major hurricane activity appears to be the degree to which the tropical Atlantic warms relative to the rest of the global ocean. © 2017 The Authors.
英文关键词	air-sea interaction; global change; global ocean; hurricane event; La Nina; long-term change; sea surface temperature; tropical region; warming; aerosol; article; Atlantic Ocean; greenhouse gas; hurricane; Pacific Ocean; rest; sea surface temperature; warming; Atlantic Ocean; Atlantic Ocean (North); Atlantic Ocean (Tropical); Pacific Ocean
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244845
作者单位	Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ, United States; Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Paul D. Schreiber High School, Port Washington, NY, United States; Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; Cooperative Programs for the Advancement of Earth System Science, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Murakami H.,Levin E.,Delworth T.L.,et al. Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence[J],2018,362(6416).
APA	Murakami H.,Levin E.,Delworth T.L.,Gudgel R.,&Hsu P.-C..(2018).Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence.Science,362(6416).
MLA	Murakami H.,et al."Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence".Science 362.6416(2018).