气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate

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DOI	10.1126/science.279.5353.1018
	Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate
	Knutson T.R.; Tuleya R.E.; Kurihara Y.
发表日期	1998
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	1018
结束页码	1020
卷号	279 期号:5353
英文摘要	Hurricanes can inflict catastrophic property damage and loss of human life. Thus, it is important to determine how the character of these powerful storms could change in response to greenhouse gas-induced global warming. The impact of climate warming on hurricane intensities was investigated with a regional, high-resolution, hurricane prediction model. In a case study, 51 western Pacific storm cases under present-day climate conditions were compared with 51 storm cases under high-CO2 conditions. More idealized experiments were also performed. The large-scale initial conditions were derived from a global climate model. For a sea surface temperature warming of about 2.2°C, the simulations yielded hurricanes that were more intense by 3 to 7 meters per second (5 to 12 percent) for wind speed and 7 to 20 millibars for central surface pressure.
英文关键词	Hurricane intensities; Maximum potential intensity; Sea surface temperatures; Surface pressure; Climate change; Global warming; Greenhouse effect; Mathematical models; Storms; Hurricanes; carbon dioxide; climage change; climate change; global warming; hurriance; hurricane; air temperature; article; climate; greenhouse effect; mathematical model; priority journal; sea; Pacific
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/244371
作者单位	Geophys. Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Natl. Oceanic Atmosph. Admin., Post Office Box 308, Princeton, NJ 08542, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Knutson T.R.,Tuleya R.E.,Kurihara Y.. Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate[J],1998,279(5353).
APA	Knutson T.R.,Tuleya R.E.,&Kurihara Y..(1998).Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate.Science,279(5353).
MLA	Knutson T.R.,et al."Simulated increase of hurricane intensities in a CO2-warmed climate".Science 279.5353(1998).