气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems

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DOI	10.1126/science.aah5015
	Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems
	Guiot J.; Cramer W.
发表日期	2016
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	465
结束页码	468
卷号	354 期号:6311
英文摘要	The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Paris Agreement of December 2015 aims to maintain the global average warming well below 2°C above the preindustrial level. In the Mediterranean basin, recent pollen-based reconstructions of climate and ecosystem variability over the past 10,000 years provide insights regarding the implications of warming thresholds for biodiversity and land-use potential.We compare scenarios of climate-driven future change in land ecosystems with reconstructed ecosystem dynamics during the past 10,000 years. Only a 1.5°C warming scenario permits ecosystems to remain within the Holocene variability. At or above 2°C of warming, climatic change will generate Mediterranean land ecosystem changes that are unmatched in the Holocene, a period characterized by recurring precipitation deficits rather than temperature anomalies. Copyright 2016 by the American Association for the Advancement of Science; all rights reserved.
英文关键词	biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem dynamics; global warming; Holocene; land use; Pleistocene-Holocene boundary; precipitation (climatology); reconstruction; temperature anomaly; threshold; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change; Article; biodiversity; climate change; ecosystem; France; greenhouse effect; Holocene; land use; precipitation; priority journal; Southern Europe; temperature; atmosphere; chemistry; United Nations; France; Ile de France; Mediterranean Region; Paris; Ville de Paris; carbon dioxide; Atmosphere; Biodiversity; Carbon Dioxide; Climate Change; Ecosystem; Global Warming; Mediterranean Region; Paris; United Nations
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243895
作者单位	Aix-Marseille Université, CNRS, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), Collège de France, Centre Européen de Recherche et d'Enseignement de Géosciences de l'Environnement, Ecosystèmes Continentaux et Risques Environnementaux (ECCOREV), Aix-en-Provence, France; Mediterranean Institute for Biodiversity and Ecology (IMBE), Aix-Marseille Université, CNRS, IRD, Avignon University, Aix-en-Provence, 13545, France
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guiot J.,Cramer W.. Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems[J],2016,354(6311).
APA	Guiot J.,&Cramer W..(2016).Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems.Science,354(6311).
MLA	Guiot J.,et al."Climate change: The 2015 Paris Agreement thresholds and Mediterranean basin ecosystems".Science 354.6311(2016).