气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications

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DOI	10.1126/science.1060040
	The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications
	Goldenberg S.B.; Landsea C.W.; Mestas-Nuñez A.M.; Gray W.M.
发表日期	2001
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	474
结束页码	479
卷号	293 期号:5529
英文摘要	The years 1995 to 2000 experienced the highest level of North Atlantic hurricane activity in the reliable record. Compared with the generally low activity of the previous 24 years (1971 to 1994), the past 6 years have seen a doubling of overall activity for the whole basin, a 2.5-fold increase in major hurricanes (≥50 meters per second), and a fivefold increase in hurricanes affecting the Caribbean. The greater activity results from simultaneous increases in North Atlantic sea-surface temperatures and decreases in vertical wind shear. Because these changes exhibit a multidecadal time scale, the present high level of hurricane activity is likely to persist for an additional ∼10 to 40 years. The shift in climate calls for a reevaluation of preparedness and mitigation strategies.
英文关键词	Climate change; Thermal gradients; Wind stress; Multidecadal time scale; Hurricanes; hurricane; natural hazard; sea surface temperature; wind shear; article; Atlantic islands; climate; environmental temperature; priority journal; sea; wind; Atlantic Ocean
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243831
作者单位	Natl. Oceanic and Atmospheric Admin., Atlantic Oceanogr./Meteorol. Lab., Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL 33149, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Goldenberg S.B.,Landsea C.W.,Mestas-Nuñez A.M.,et al. The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications[J],2001,293(5529).
APA	Goldenberg S.B.,Landsea C.W.,Mestas-Nuñez A.M.,&Gray W.M..(2001).The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications.Science,293(5529).
MLA	Goldenberg S.B.,et al."The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications".Science 293.5529(2001).