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DOI10.1126/science.1212222
Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000
Durack P.J.; Wijffels S.E.; Matear R.J.
发表日期2012
ISSN0036-8075
起始页码455
结束页码458
卷号336期号:6080
英文摘要Fundamental thermodynamics and climate models suggest that dry regions will become drier and wet regions will become wetter in response to warming. Efforts to detect this long-term response in sparse surface observations of rainfall and evaporation remain ambiguous. We show that ocean salinity patterns express an identifiable fingerprint of an intensifying water cycle. Our 50-year observed global surface salinity changes, combined with changes from global climate models, present robust evidence of an intensified global water cycle at a rate of 8 ± 5% per degree of surface warming. This rate is double the response projected by current-generation climate models and suggests that a substantial (16 to 24%) intensification of the global water cycle will occur in a future 2° to 3° warmer world.
英文关键词climate modeling; ecological footprint; evaporation; global warming; hydrological cycle; rainfall; sea surface salinity; thermodynamics; article; climate; environmental temperature; priority journal; salinity; sea; warming; water cycle
语种英语
来源期刊Science
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243588
作者单位Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Marine and Atmospheric Research, General Post Office (GPO) Box 1538, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia; Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 129, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia; Wealth from Oceans National Research Flagship, CSIRO, GPO Box 1538, Hobart, TAS 7001, Australia; Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Mail Code L-103, 7000 East Avenue, Livermore, CA 94550, United States
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Durack P.J.,Wijffels S.E.,Matear R.J.. Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000[J],2012,336(6080).
APA Durack P.J.,Wijffels S.E.,&Matear R.J..(2012).Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000.Science,336(6080).
MLA Durack P.J.,et al."Ocean salinities reveal strong global water cycle intensification during 1950 to 2000".Science 336.6080(2012).
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