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| DOI | 10.1126/science.287.5461.2246 |
| Simulation of early 20th century global warming | |
| Delworth T.L.; Knutson T.R. | |
| 发表日期 | 2000 |
| ISSN | 0036-8075 |
| 起始页码 | 2246 |
| 结束页码 | 2250 |
| 卷号 | 287期号:5461 |
| 英文摘要 | The observed global warming of the past century occurred primarily in two distinct 20-year periods, from 1925 to 1944 and from 1978 to the present. Although the latter warming is often attributed to a human-induced increase of greenhouse gases, causes of the earlier warming are less clear because this period precedes the time of strongest increases in human-induced greenhouse gas (radiative) forcing. Results from a set of six integrations of a coupled ocean-atmosphere climate model suggest that the warming of the early 20th century could have resulted from a combination of human-induced radiative forcing and an unusually large realization of internal multidecadal variability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. This conclusion is dependent on the model's climate sensitivity, internal variability, and the specification of the time-varying human-induced radiative forcing. |
| 英文关键词 | atmosphere-ocean coupling; climate change; climate forcing; global warming; article; atmosphere; climate; greenhouse effect; model; priority journal; sea; simulation |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 来源期刊 | Science
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| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243508 |
| 作者单位 | Geophys. Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Natl. Oceanic and Atmosph. Admin., Princeton, NJ 08542, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Delworth T.L.,Knutson T.R.. Simulation of early 20th century global warming[J],2000,287(5461). |
| APA | Delworth T.L.,&Knutson T.R..(2000).Simulation of early 20th century global warming.Science,287(5461). |
| MLA | Delworth T.L.,et al."Simulation of early 20th century global warming".Science 287.5461(2000). |
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