气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative

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DOI	10.1126/science.293.5530.657
	Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative
	Clark J.S.; Carpenter S.R.; Barber M.; Collins S.; Dobson A.; Foley J.A.; Lodge D.M.; Pascual M.; Pielke R. Jr.; Pizer W.; Pringle C.; Reid W.V.; Rose K.A.; Sala O.; Schlesinger W.H.; Wall D.H.; Wear D.
发表日期	2001
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	657
结束页码	660
卷号	293 期号:5530
英文摘要	Planning and decision-making can be improved by access tO reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. AvaiLability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. InterdiscipLinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.
英文关键词	Decision making; Feedback; Regional planning; Statistical methods; Technological forecasting; Ecological forecasts; Ecology; chlorofluorocarbon; chlorphenotane; database; ecology; ecosystem; forecasting method; climate; decision making; ecosystem; ecotoxicology; feedback system; mussel; nonhuman; planning; prediction; priority journal; review; sociology
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243336
作者单位	Department of Biology, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, United States
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Clark J.S.,Carpenter S.R.,Barber M.,et al. Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative[J],2001,293(5530).
APA	Clark J.S..,Carpenter S.R..,Barber M..,Collins S..,Dobson A..,...&Wear D..(2001).Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative.Science,293(5530).
MLA	Clark J.S.,et al."Ecological forecasts: An emerging imperative".Science 293.5530(2001).