气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): 2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility

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DOI	10.1126/science.1197175
	2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility
	Büntgen U.; Tegel W.; Nicolussi K.; McCormick M.; Frank D.; Trouet V.; Kaplan J.O.; Herzig F.; Heussner K.-U.; Wanner H.; Luterbacher J.; Esper J.
发表日期	2011
ISSN	0036-8075
起始页码	578
结束页码	582
卷号	331 期号:6017
英文摘要	Climate variations influenced the agricultural productivity, health risk, and conflict level of preindustrial societies. Discrimination between environmental and anthropogenic impacts on past civilizations, however, remains difficult because of the paucity of high-resolution paleoclimatic evidence. We present tree ring - based reconstructions of central European summer precipitation and temperature variability over the past 2500 years. Recent warming is unprecedented, but modern hydroclimatic variations may have at times been exceeded in magnitude and duration. Wet and warm summers occurred during periods of Roman and medieval prosperity. Increased climate variability from ∼250 to 600 C.E. coincided with the demise of the western Roman Empire and the turmoil of the Migration Period. Such historical data may provide a basis for counteracting the recent political and fiscal reluctance to mitigate projected climate change.
英文关键词	agricultural production; anthropogenic effect; civilization; climate variation; conflict management; environmental impact; fiscal reform; health risk; historical record; Medieval; paleoclimate; precipitation (climatology); Roman era; tree ring; agricultural procedures; article; climate change; health care organization; health hazard; human; Middle Ages; nonhuman; priority journal; productivity; social status; temperature; vegetation; Agriculture; Civilization; Climate Change; Climatic Processes; Epidemics; Europe; History, 15th Century; History, 16th Century; History, 17th Century; History, 18th Century; History, 19th Century; History, 20th Century; History, 21st Century; History, Ancient; History, Medieval; Humans; Quercus; Seasons; Temperature; Trees
语种	英语
来源期刊	Science
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/243190
作者单位	Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland; Institute for Forest Growth, University of Freiburg, 79085 Freiburg, Germany; Institute of Geography, University of Innsbruck, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria; Department of History, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, United States; Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, United States; Environmental Engineering Institute, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland; Bavarian State Department for Cultural Heritage, 86672 Thierhaupten, Germany; German Archaeological Institute, 14195 Berlin, Germany; Department of Geography, Justus Liebig University, 35390 Giessen, Germany; Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, 55128 Mainz, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Büntgen U.,Tegel W.,Nicolussi K.,et al. 2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility[J],2011,331(6017).
APA	Büntgen U..,Tegel W..,Nicolussi K..,McCormick M..,Frank D..,...&Esper J..(2011).2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility.Science,331(6017).
MLA	Büntgen U.,et al."2500 years of European climate variability and human susceptibility".Science 331.6017(2011).