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DOI10.1073/pnas.2112605118
Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan
Endo A.; Uchida M.; Hayashi N.; Liu Y.; Atkins K.E.; Kucharski A.J.; Funk S.
发表日期2021
ISSN0027-8424
卷号118期号:46
英文摘要Schools play a central role in the transmission of many respiratory infections. Heterogeneous social contact patterns associated with the social structures of schools (i.e., classes/grades) are likely to influence the within-school transmission dynamics, but datadriven evidence on fine-scale transmission patterns between students has been limited. Using a mathematical model, we analyzed a large-scale dataset of seasonal influenza outbreaks in Matsumoto city, Japan, to infer social interactions within and between classes/grades from observed transmission patterns. While the relative contribution of within-class and within-grade transmissions to the reproduction number varied with the number of classes per grade, the overall within-school reproduction number, which determines the initial growth of cases and the risk of sustained transmission, was only minimally associated with class sizes and the number of classes per grade. This finding suggests that interventions that change the size and number of classes, e.g., splitting classes and staggered attendance, may have a limited effect on the control of school outbreaks. We also found that vaccination and mask-wearing of students were associated with reduced susceptibility (vaccination and mask-wearing) and infectiousness (mask-wearing), and hand washing was associated with increased susceptibility. Our results show how analysis of fine-grained transmission patterns between students can improve understanding of within-school disease dynamics and provide insights into the relative impact of different approaches to outbreak control. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词Class size; Influenza; Mathematical model; School; Social network
语种英语
来源期刊Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/238751
作者单位Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom; The Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom; The Alan Turing Institute, London, NW1 2DB, United Kingdom; School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, 852-8523, Japan; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Tokyo, 102-0083, Japan; Graduate School of Medicine, Gunma University, Gunma, 371-8511, Japan; Simulation and Mining Division, NTT DATA Mathematical Systems Inc., Tokyo, 160-0016, Japan; Department of Mathematical and Computing Science, School of Computing, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, 152-8552, Japan; Centre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH16 4UX, United Kingdom
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Endo A.,Uchida M.,Hayashi N.,et al. Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan[J],2021,118(46).
APA Endo A..,Uchida M..,Hayashi N..,Liu Y..,Atkins K.E..,...&Funk S..(2021).Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(46).
MLA Endo A.,et al."Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.46(2021).
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