气候变化领域集成服务门户(CCPortal): Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory

CCPortal

DOI	10.1073/pnas.2105624118
	Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory
	Gallea Q.; Rohner D.
发表日期	2021
ISSN	0027-8424
卷号	118 期号:39
英文摘要	Globalization is routinely blamed for various ills, including fueling conflict in strategic locations. To investigate whether these accusations are well founded, we have built a database to assess any given location’s strategic importance. Consistent with our game-theoretic model of strategic interaction, we find that overall fighting is more frequent in strategic locations close to maritime choke points (e.g., straits or capes), but that booming world trade openness considerably reduces the risks of conflict erupting in such strategic locations. The impact is quantitatively sizable, as moving one SD (1,100 km) closer to a choke point increases the conflict likelihood by 25% of the baseline risk in periods of low globalization, while reducing it during world trade booms. Our results have important policy implications for supranational coordination. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
英文关键词	Conflict; Globalization; Straits; Strategic territory; Trade
语种	英语
scopus关键词	article
来源期刊	Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/238639
作者单位	Department of Economics, University of Zurich, Zurich, 8001, Switzerland; Enterprise for Society (E4S) Center, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland; Department of Economics, Hautes Etudes Commerciales (HEC) Lausanne, University of Lausanne, Chavannes-près-Renens, 1015, Switzerland; Centre for Economic Policy Research, London, EC1V 0DX, United Kingdom
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Gallea Q.,Rohner D.. Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory[J],2021,118(39).
APA	Gallea Q.,&Rohner D..(2021).Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(39).
MLA	Gallea Q.,et al."Globalization mitigates the risk of conflict caused by strategic territory".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.39(2021).