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| DOI | 10.1073/PNAS.2112797118 |
| Beyond the hockey stick: Climate lessons from the Common Era | |
| Mann M.E. | |
| 发表日期 | 2021 |
| ISSN | 0027-8424 |
| 卷号 | 118期号:39 |
| 英文摘要 | More than two decades ago, my coauthors, Raymond Bradley and Malcolm Hughes, and I published the now iconic "hockey stick" curve. It was a simple graph, derived from large-scale networks of diverse climate proxy ("multiproxy") data such as tree rings, ice cores, corals, and lake sediments, that captured the unprecedented nature of the warming taking place today. It became a focal point in the debate over human-caused climate change and what to do about it. Yet, the apparent simplicity of the hockey stick curve betrays the dynamicism and complexity of the climate history of past centuries and how it can inform our understanding of humancaused climate change and its impacts. In this article, I discuss the lessons we can learn from studying paleoclimate records and climate model simulations of the "Common Era," the period of the past two millennia during which the "signal" of human-caused warming has risen dramatically from the background of natural variability. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. |
| 英文关键词 | Climate change; Common era; Hockey stick; Paleoclimatology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| scopus关键词 | article; climate change; hockey; human; lake sediment; paleoclimate; paleoclimatology; simulation; warming |
| 来源期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
 |
| 文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://gcip.llas.ac.cn/handle/2XKMVOVA/238365 |
| 作者单位 | Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, United States |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mann M.E.. Beyond the hockey stick: Climate lessons from the Common Era[J],2021,118(39). |
| APA | Mann M.E..(2021).Beyond the hockey stick: Climate lessons from the Common Era.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,118(39). |
| MLA | Mann M.E.."Beyond the hockey stick: Climate lessons from the Common Era".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 118.39(2021). |
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